Yes, the FBI's hate crime statistics are an undercount in the same way we know that anything the FBI creates regarding data is an undercount.
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The undercount happens because those people are harder to find.
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A drastic undercount could cost New York a second seat.
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But even that estimate may undercount the hurricane's real toll.
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Many believe the official death toll of 64 is an undercount.
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An undercount could cost states billions of dollars in federal revenue.
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The Border Patrol's undercount in Arizona has been persistent, but growing.
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This leads to a 'yuge' undercount of Latino support for Hillary.
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Some argue the move was designed to undercount immigrants and minorities.
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For cities fearing an undercount, the 22010 census has already started.
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But that is a significant undercount, aid groups said in interviews.
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How else might an undercount of the population affect the nation?
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There's a good chance that the CDC's estimate is an undercount.
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As a result, reported figures for recent months undercount total funding activity.
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Critics say it will result in a significant undercount of the population.
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Due to a lack of available testing, this is likely an undercount.
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From the 1970 Census through the 2000 census, there were undercount lawsuits.
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But those numbers are probably an undercount as well, defense officials said.
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Let's back up for a second: Why all the hubbub about this undercount?
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But critics say it will lead to a severe undercount of immigrant communities.
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But the highest rate of undercount was for children ages 0 to 4.
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And still, a California audit found that public school districts undercount the number.
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Experts say that including this question will undercount urban areas with high minority populations.
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The error occurs because polls systemically undercount or overcount some groups of likely voters.
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History also provides reasons that those holding political power might want to undercount minorities.
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The numbers are almost certainly an undercount given the fast spread of the virus.
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The researchers cautioned that their figures likely undercount the number of alcohol-related deaths.
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It could ultimately result in an undercount of about 6.5 million people, they say.
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It could ultimately result in an undercount of about 6.5 million people, they say.
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But if the Latino response rate plummets in 2020, the undercount rate will soar.
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So while these percentages are almost certainly an undercount, what's notable is the trend.
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This leads to final numbers that are typically a 53% to 35% undercount of deaths.
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But recent studies find that number may undercount just how many kids really have concussions.
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An undercount also could affect how district seats in the House of Representatives are drawn.
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Go deeper: 2020 Census could be worst undercount of black and Latinx people since 1990
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A skewed undercount would understate the population of diverse states and deprive them of representation.
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That would lead to a population undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with high immigrant populations.
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Some states, such as Rhode Island and California, are actively working to avoid an undercount.
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Of course, there is one big Democratic state that will suffer by a significant undercount.
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Funding for all of those things will ramp down in any state where an undercount occurs.
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Just as important, an undercount of minorities could shift the balance of political power within states.
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More likely, they undercount drug-resistant deaths, as cases like that of Josiah Cooper-Pope show.
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Kim: Historically I do believe that was probably true, that a city benefitted from an undercount.
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Officially U.S. unemployment looks low at 4.1 percent (6.7 million people), but that's a gross undercount.
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After the very first census, in 5503, George Washington and Thomas Jefferson complained of an undercount.
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The state could also potentially lose a seat in Congress if there is a significant undercount.
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The Syrian Network's tally of 239,2601 people currently caught in the system is probably an undercount.
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Broward County was unusual in that it had reported more than 30,400 of the undercount ballots.
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A significant undercount of Hispanics could cost the Republican Party electoral votes in both these states.
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And it's probably an undercount, given that not all tech companies advertise their economist postings there.
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An undercount means less representation, less federal funding for essential programs, and less protection of our rights.
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The resulting differential undercount will penalize immigrant-rich cities and states in political representation and federal funding.
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Cases are still being undercounted, and the extent of the undercount varies widely from country to country.
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Undercount estimates for Alaska Natives, who do not live on reservations, range as high as 8 percent.
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An undercount in the 2020 census could affect the congressional representation of as many as 85033 states.
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So I don't think you should undercount that that red flag would have been perfectly, abundantly clear.
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More progressive advocacy groups will often claim that sinister forces work to undercount groups that they favor.
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Pushing a cart or even walking on a soft surface like a plush carpet may undercount your movement.
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Critics of the citizenship question argue it would reduce the census' accuracy and undercount minority and immigrant populations.
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Read the DOJ's letter: Go deeper: Census could be worst undercount of black and Latinx people since 1990
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Harvard researchers predict the citizenship question would lead to an undercount of more than 4 million Hispanic residents.
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But experts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention say they believe that is a radical undercount.
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"An undercount will mean fewer resources in an area that is high-need and growing," Ms. Reyna said.
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Mortality estimates that include those people who do not have an outcome yet will undercount the mortality rate.
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Critics were quick to blast the department's justification, saying the move was designed to undercount immigrants and minorities.
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Those figures invariably represent a significant undercount since most people with the virus don't realize they have it.
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This next chart looks at how severe the undercount would be if the 2020 census performed on the lower end of the Census Bureau's expectations, and it takes into account the potential chilling effect from the citizenship question: The projected undercount for the 2020 census is caused in part by underfunding.
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"That undercount, in turn, will translate into a loss of political power and funds, among other harms," Furman wrote.
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Each year the EEOC receives about 12,000 complaints of sexual harassment, a figure certain to be a gross undercount.
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The United Nations High Commission on Refugees puts the official number at 4.8 million, but that is an undercount.
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They said the administration's intent was to undercount immigrant communities and possibly reduce their resources and representation in Congress.
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Critics say the administration's intent was to undercount immigrant communities and possibly reduce their resources and representation in Congress.
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They also contended it would cause an undercount and jeopardize congressional seats and billions of dollars in federal funding.
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This week could be a big one for the Trump administration's plot to undercount Latinos in the 2020 census.
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"An undercount has real, economic consequences for the lives of Montanans and should not be sacrificed for private fundraising."
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Opponents of adding the citizenship question have alleged that it was inserted to intentionally undercount certain populations for political purposes.
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There is already heightened concern about an undercount, due to the Trump administration's plan to ask respondents about their citizenship.
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But even if a citizenship question isn't ultimately reinstated, that doesn't mean the fear of an undercount is going away.
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Critics of the citizenship question say it would reduce the accuracy of the census, and undercount minority populations, including immigrants.
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Worst-case undercount/overcount projections, per the Urban Institute: Black residents: -1.7 million people Hispanic/Latinx people: - 2.2 million people.
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And to be sure those undercount the actual instances of voter fraud because not everyone is going to be caught.
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They may also be an undercount, since prescribers can submit claims under an organization's ID number instead of their own.
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The result, these critics say, could be an undercount in areas of the country most heavily populated by new immigrants.
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The question is viewed as a backdoor effort by the Trump administration to undercount minorities and dilute their political influence.
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On the one hand, Chinese state media have reported test kit shortages and processing bottlenecks, which could produce an undercount.
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To not feel eclipsed by President Barack Obama, he claimed there was a media conspiracy to undercount his inauguration crowd.
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That undercount would've been especially pronounced in places with large concentrations of immigrants, including Texas, California, New York, and Florida.
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In most cases, eliminating this category alone would tend to overcount the level of imports and undercount the level of exports.
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The plaintiffs say that would result in an undercount that would jeopardize their federal funding and the state's representation in Congress.
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They plan to use testimony from academics to support their claim that the citizenship question would result in a costly undercount.
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Sales estimates from the FBI's data inevitably undercount the true total, because not all gun sales legally require a background check.
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Yes, an undercount affects urban minorities — but also conservative rural agricultural communities dependent on farmworkers, and plenty of areas in between.
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Those who oppose adding the question say it would likely suppress the response rate in immigrant communities, leading to an undercount.
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Critics of the question argued that including it would reduce the accuracy of the census and undercount minority populations, including immigrants.
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One recent study found more than 700 stem cell clinics in the U.S., but the author called that a substantial undercount.
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These, however, are known to undercount maternal deaths, partly because doctors must select a cause of death from thousands of codes.
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Demographers believe an undercount could reduce the political power of heavily Democratic states with large immigrant communities during redistricting in 2021.
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Because most students do not report assaults, the reports are believed to undercount the actual number of cases, experts say. 4.
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The groups argue the question could scare certain populations from answering honestly and will cause a disproportionate undercount of non-U.
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States will need to marshall all of their resources to quell an undercount, if the question does appear on the census.
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It's worth remembering that, even allowing for a potential undercount, the country's production is officially still up 5 percent this year.
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"If five out of 10 people tell me that they didn't answer it, that tells me we've got a huge undercount."
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The sad truth is that these devices can undercount or overcount the number of steps that you take in a day.
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The result, demographers widely agree, will be a vast undercount of the American population -- to the political benefit of the GOP.
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The Times's findings most likely undercount the amount of bribes because in many cases court records do not give a tally.
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The Brazilian government's own estimate for deforestation of the Amazon stands at 19.3 percent, though some scientists consider this an undercount.
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The Brazilian government's own estimate for deforestation of the Amazon stands at 19.3 percent, though some scientists consider this an undercount.
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The resulting undercount would then reduce the political representation of immigrant-heavy regions and cause them to receive less federal funding.
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These tended to undercount, not least because until last year Indian law considered suicide, as well as "abetment" of it, a crime.
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For example, in the 85033 Census, the undercount rate for Latino children was 7.1 percent, compared to 4.3 percent for non-Latinos.
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And that's probably an undercount, the CDC said: Typically, for every known infection, there are 29 other people who probably got sick.
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In a recent study, Dr. Turner found 716 stem-cell clinics in the United States, a figure he calls a substantial undercount.
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Officials at the Census Bureau itself have said that including the question would lead to an undercount of noncitizens and minority residents.
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These activists have also expressed concerns that redrawn maps following an undercount would favor Republicans, a worry that is not completely unfounded.
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The plaintiffs argued that participation in the census will be depressed by the addition of the new question, causing a significant undercount.
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Anderson: Oh, it gets tangled up in the Civil Rights movement and the measurement of the undercount of minorities in urban areas.
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"What would have happened if there was a glitch there that got at a 10 percent or 000 percent undercount?" she said.
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Based on the number of patients he sees at his hospital, he believes the numbers in this report are likely an undercount.
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The Trump administration has rejected the idea that asking about citizenship is likely to create a substantial undercount that didn't exist before.
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Some Democrats have said adding such a question is a veiled attempt to undercount communities of color, which tend to lean Democratic.
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Critics say adding the question would undercount the number of immigrants in the U.S., as people may be afraid to answer it honestly.
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Of the 65,000 drug-overdose victims in the 12 months to March 220, 220% died from opioids (coroners' reports may undercount that figure).
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If minority communities fail to answer the census, then areas of high minority populations, such as Latino communities, will likely suffer an undercount.
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Census Bureau officials have predicted the inquiry would lead to a lower response rate and an undercount of Hispanic and non-citizen households.
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Ribbenvik conceded the records are likely an undercount: Suicidal behavior is only noted when it affects immigration staffers' working conditions in some way.
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That would cause an undercount of the population of these (mainly Democratic) areas, reducing their number of congressional districts and presidential electoral votes.
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The foundation said its estimates were an undercount because some diseases that insurers cited when declining coverage are not in the survey data.
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Put simply, the new category is a solution to a massive and systemic undercount of these communities — a problem the Census fully acknowledges.
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With fewer people completing the census, the bureau's data will be skewed, resulting in an undercount of marginalized communities — including many immigrant communities.
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Federal funding is determined by census data, meaning an undercount in some states could lead to less funding and possibly affect congressional representation.
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Stretches of The Bodies in Person examine how the United States manages the optics of war, notably through policies that undercount collateral deaths.
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The concern among officials like Mr. Salvo is that in an undercount, New York could be forced to give up a second seat.
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By its end, Justice Department lawyers had all but conceded that asking about citizenship would lead to an undercount of noncitizens and minorities.
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And because the census happens only once a decade, any potential undercount could impact states and cities for a long time to come.
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The states at greatest risk of an undercount, according to the Urban Institute: Florida, California, Georgia, New York, Nevada, Texas, and New Mexico.
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The other is that, because they ignore the impact of trade, such targets typically undercount the emissions for which rich countries are responsible.
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Advocates and Census Bureau research show that asking such a question could deter people from responding and cause an undercount of vulnerable communities.
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The FBI and BJS's new programs will supplant the current databases kept by the two agencies, both of which severely undercount police killings.
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Not all states revoke licenses and not all states track the punishment; the AP admits its analysis of 41 states could be an undercount.
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Those who oppose adding the question to the census say it would likely suppress the response rate in immigrant communities, leading to an undercount.
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There were at least 6753,500 oil spills in US waters between 2007 and 2017, according to the report, which said that's probably an undercount.
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The consequences of an undercount in the next census will have a serious negative impact on every individual, citizen or not, in our country.
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Opponents argued that it would cause an undercount of the population, particularly for immigrant and Hispanic communities, and lead to underfunding for those groups.
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Rather than play on fear and fuel an undercount, let's work together to strengthen the democracy we all hold so dear to our hearts.
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An undercount of these communities, which are often in Democratic constituencies, could tilt political power in Congress and state legislatures toward the Republican Party.
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An undercount of Latinos would then cause them to receive less political representation and federal funding — both of which are based on the census.
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Critics feared that the move was a partisan power grab that would result in an undercount of residents in areas with large immigrant populations.
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The census began its 2020 count in a remote Alaskan village amid questions about whether officials can avoid yet another undercount of minority communities.
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In the past month only two of the eight elevator failures I encountered were listed, making it likely that official statistics are an undercount.
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And while the US Department of Housing and Urban Development publishes statistics on homelessness, some experts say the data might drastically undercount its true scope.
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Tuesday's report reiterates that the lack of clear direction about how to record and report hurricane-related deaths led to a significant undercount by officials.
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An internal committee partnered with child-focused groups to develop outreach in local communities, according to a 2019 report of recent findings concerning the undercount.
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The 2020 Census could see the worst undercount of black and Latinx people in 30 years, according to a new study from the Urban Institute.
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Critics of the question, citing government experts, said the inclusion of the question would result in less accurate data and undercount minority groups, including Hispanics.
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I don't think anyone is purposely trying to undercount a population, and often their hands are tied as to how you define the youth count.
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States that suffer from an undercount will receive a smaller portion of the hundreds of billions of dollars that the federal government distributes to states.
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That figure is almost certainly an undercount since we only included those who formally registered as lobbyists, a process increasingly avoided by many in Washington.
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That striking gap is what the COUNT Act focuses on, to make sure local and state governments don't undercount (or overcount) victims of natural disasters.
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Two years out from the census, cities are scrambling to avert an undercount they fear could be unusually large for reasons both political and practical.
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Meanwhile, the citizenship question may create new risks of undercount for the nearly 45 million Americans living in a household with at least one noncitizen.
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A looming shortage in lab materials is threatening to delay coronavirus test results and cause officials to undercount the number of Americans with the virus.
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The effort to reduce the undercount marked an important philosophical step away from politics for a project that had always been a battleground for them.
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The author, Jean-Vincent Blanchard of Swarthmore College, says that number is almost certainly an undercount, with other self-killings recorded as deaths by disease.
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Critics, and even officials at the Census Bureau, have said that asking about citizenship status would lead to an undercount of noncitizens and minority residents.
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The efforts could lead to an undercount of the number of immigrants, and thus affect California's representation in Congress and its share of federal funds.
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One limitation of the study is the possibility that some participants with diabetes went undiagnosed, leading to an undercount of the number of diabetes cases.
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A citizenship question on the 2435 census has already drawn challenges from states that fear an undercount of immigrants and a loss of federal funds.
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An undercount of immigrants could cost their communities a decade's worth of federal funding, as well as seats in the U.S. Congress and state legislatures.
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Census Bureau research shows that this question could actually deter people from responding to the survey, which means it might cause an undercount of vulnerable populations.
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New York and other challengers to the citizenship inquiry say it would lead to a lower response rate and an undercount of Hispanic and noncitizen households.
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While the government counted a death toll of 22018 in the first 20183 days after the storm it turns out to have been a serious undercount.
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As the briefing in the Supreme Court notes, a governmental memo suggested that the citizenship question would result in an undercount of around 6.5 million individuals.
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The report authors, however, noted that the visibility of firms that had disappeared was relatively low, which could have led to an undercount of shuttered companies.
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Gillibrand's report said the Pentagon's statistics undercount the issue because they do not include victims who are civilians, non-military spouses of service members and minors.
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That would result in a severe undercount of the population — and, in turn, faulty data for government agencies and outside groups that rely on the census.
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They said the move was designed to undercount immigrants, potentially reducing their representation in Congress and federal funding for local jurisdictions, which is determined by population.
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Based on the institute's analysis, the 2020 census could lead to the worst undercount of black and Latino and Latina people in the U.S. since 1990.
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As recently as last week, bureau experts warned that adding the question would result in a significant undercount of households with at least one noncitizen member.
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Hyperbolic discounting: Last but not least, we suffer from the tendency to prioritize the short term, and undercount the importance of medium and long-term outcomes.
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If the undercount, as it's called, was substantial enough, it's conceivable that a state with a large number of immigrants could lose a seat in Congress.
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Advocates think that the methodology produces a significant undercount, but they are the best statistics available (and much higher quality than those of other developed countries).
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Another result of an undercount is a loss of additional congressional seats and a loss of millions of dollars of federal funds tied to population figures.
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That is almost certainly an undercount: Not every crash report is logged in the state's database, and many reports lacked searchable descriptions of the crash's circumstances.
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Researchers list many reasons for the perennial undercount, chief among them a lack of training for law enforcement agents tasked with recognizing and documenting suspected hate crimes.
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But Democrats view it as an attempt to discourage immigrants and Latinos from participating in the census, which could lead to an undercount in Democratic-leaning states.
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An undercount of those groups in turn could affect the allocation of billions of dollars worth of federal funds, whose distribution often is related to census data.
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The plaintiffs had argued the question would cause an undercount in Hispanic and immigrant communities, to the detriment of their political representation and access to federal aid.
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He criticizes the Border Patrol for what he calls "a systematic effort to undercount and underreport"-- and for ignoring how border enforcement strategies are causing these deaths.
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States like New York and California, which host large immigrant communities, would likely see representation and funding diminished were Census figures to undercount their foreign-national populations.
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That is likely an undercount since local agencies are not required to share info with the FBI and the definition of a "justifiable homicide" is somewhat ambiguous.
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Some analysts argue the CNIA undercount of actual production is much larger with as much as 6 million tonnes annualised, a tenth of global output, now "missing".
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Critics of the change argue that amid a divisive national debate on immigration, many immigrants would be reluctant to return their census questionnaires, resulting in an undercount.
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Critics have said Republicans want to engineer a deliberate population undercount in Democratic-leaning areas where many immigrants live in order to gain seats in the House.
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What do you think will happen if the 2020 census data reflects an undercount of the population of the United States, and why do you think so?
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The addition of the question could result in a major undercount of residents in Hispanic and immigrant-heavy areas, skewing the electoral map in favor of Republicans.
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An undercount, experts say, would also deeply disrupt federal funding for poverty and health care programs, transportation, school planning and even private sector investments in undercounted areas.
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Government experts say that adding the citizenship question would deter many Hispanic immigrants from participating in the census, leading to an undercount of about 6.5 million people.
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They say the citizenship question will deter noncitizens and minorities from filling out the form, leading to an undercount in the predominantly Democratic areas where they live.
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An undercount of Latinos would help the Republican Party by giving less political power and federal funding to immigrant-heavy regions, which also tend to lean Democrat.
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And the extent of the undercount will vary from country to country, depending on how aggressively they have rolled out testing for people who have gotten sick.
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" Asked whether he was charging that the administration added a citizenship question to deliberately cause an undercount, a second plaintiffs' lawyer, John Freedman, replied, "Absolutely, your honor.
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The country currently has about 125,000 cases— although testing is limited nationwide, so that number is widely considered to be an undercount — and close to 2,200 deaths.
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Other Trump states with large Hispanic populations that may not gain projected additional electoral votes as the result of an undercount include Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.
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But exit polls tend to undercount the number of less educated voters, and the national exit polls obscured Mr. Obama's strength among white voters in the North.
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In fact, it was intended to scare Latinos from answering the census, leading to an undercount that would ultimately damage immigrant-heavy communities both economically and politically.
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Data from the questionnaire are used to determine how congressional seats are allocated to the states; experts agreed the query would cause a severe undercount of immigrant households.
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An undercount could affect how billions of dollars worth of federal funds are distributed nationally, and also could affect the design of districts for the House of Representatives.
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Critics of the question have argued that it will result in an undercount of minority groups, particularly among those who live in households containing noncitizens and Hispanic people.
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Critics have called the citizenship question a Republican ploy to scare immigrants into not participating and engineer a population undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with high immigrant populations.
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An undercount on the Census could pose lasting problems for communities with high immigrant populations because the survey determines how $22000 billion in federal money is allocated reut.
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A substantial undercount would affect red and blue states alike — deeply Democratic California has nearly seven million eligible Hispanic voters, while deeply Republican Texas has nearly five million.
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Countries can have incentives both to overcount (in regions vying to demonstrate increased need for aid, say) and undercount their populations (perhaps to disfavor a disliked minority group).
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"Our whole democracy is based on representation," Ms. Maloney said, "and if there is a conscious effort to undercount representation, that is an attack fundamentally on our democracy."
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In total, 212,270 people in China have been infected with the virus, and 22,19183 have died from it, according to the official data, which may undercount both figures.
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The office has not released 2018 figures because of what is says is an undercount of the previous two years, which it says it is working to correct.
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However, since the census counts everyone regardless of citizenship status any significant undercount of Hispanics may well wind up biting Trump and the Republican Party in the posterior.
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Opponents argue polling citizenship could depress census participation rates among noncitizens, resulting in an undercount in areas with high immigrant populations and skewing congressional representation among the states.
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This would potentially give Democrats less representation in Congress and in the Electoral College — and that undercount would be with us for 10 years until the next census.
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Critics have called the question a Republican ploy to scare immigrants away from taking part and engineer an undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with large immigrant and Latino populations.
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The U.S. Department of Justice argues Census officials take steps to guard against an undercount, including making in-person follow-up visits, so the final numbers will be accurate.
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"(The figures are considered) to significantly undercount the true extent of the casualties, considering the diminished reporting capacity at health facilities and people's difficulties accessing healthcare," the OCHA said.
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The big question is why — which is complicated by the fact that student homelessness is measured differently than homelessness among the adult population, and still considered a vast undercount.
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Critics of the citizenship question argue that it will reduce the accuracy of the survey and undercount minority populations, including immigrants who are in the country legally or otherwise.
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Democrats say adding the question would result in an undercount in areas with a large Hispanic population and other minority communities, which would reduce Democratic representation in such areas.
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But campaigners believe this is an undercount as many indigenous inmates were not identified as such when they entered jail, which made it hard to keep track of them.
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Democratic states sued the administration over the question almost immediately after it was announced, claiming that it would lead to an undercount of residents who live in certain states.
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The Department of Housing and Urban Development estimates that about 2000,22005 people were homeless on a given night in 21.3; some advocacy groups argue this is a dramatic undercount.
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Adding the citizenship question could lead to an undercount of 4.2 million Hispanics alone, the Harvard Kennedy School's Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy estimated last month.
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In his memo outlining the decision, Ross said he'd weighed concerns about an undercount, but didn't see enough evidence showing that the citizenship question would materially decrease response rates.
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A serious population undercount, the plaintiffs said, would reduce minority representation in the House of Representatives and state and local governments when political districts are reapportioned early next decade.
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Several of the ads are directed at minority populations, particularly the Latino community, because of the bureau's concerns that the 2020 census will undercount these populations, according to Politico.
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If there is an undercount, areas more favorable to Democrats will be the most adversely affected, with congressional apportionment and fund apportionment, which are Census-based, on the line.
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The proposed citizenship question has been controversial because experts and Latino advocacy groups have been united in their belief that it would result in an undercount of the Hispanic population.
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" New York Attorney General Letitia James, who challenged the administration, said in a statement Thursday that "This one question could have caused a substantial undercount, particularly of noncitizens and Latinos.
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A study out in February suggests the CDC's estimate of 33,000 opioid-related deaths in 2015 was actually a huge undercount, for example, with the true number likely around 40,000.
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CBP's statistics on deaths at the border have come under fire in the past, with both advocates and academics noting that the figures significantly undercount the actual number of fatalities.
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A severe undercount of Hispanics, as opponents of the administration feared, might dilute the political representation of blue states like California; some red states, like Texas, would also be affected.
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That level of noncompliance could result in an undercount of thousands of residents, depriving them of millions of dollars in federal funds that they would otherwise be eligible to receive.
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They said it would cause an undercount of their populations and disproportionately hurt their regions by costing them U.S. House of Representatives seats and millions of dollars in federal funding.
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Ross has said the question would help enforce the Voting Rights Act, but critics argue it would scare immigrants and Latinos into abstaining, which could disproportionately undercount Democratic-leaning states.
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Opponents have accused the administration of trying to engineer an undercount of the true population and diminish the electoral representation of Democratic-leaning communities in Congress, benefiting Trump's fellow Republicans.
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The last census failed to find 1.5 percent of the Hispanic population, the Census Bureau said, an undercount exceeded only by the 2.1 percent of African-Americans who were missed.
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Opponents of the move say the change will lead to an undercount of non-citizen residents here both legally and illegally who might fear answering the questions about their citizenship.
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Supporters of regulation don't like the act of monetizing the impacts of regulation, feeling that it demeans the value of health and welfare, and it will inevitably undercount these benefits.
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Ross also chose not to heed recommendations from experts - including from within the Census Bureau itself - who said adding the question would lead to an undercount and hurt data quality.
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Amid brewing anti-immigration sentiments, critics said adding the question could produce an undercount because undocumented immigrants would refuse to participate in the decennial survey out of fear of being deported.
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A study by Harvard researchers in March predicted the citizenship question would lead to an undercount of some 4.2 million people among Hispanics, costing their communities federal aid and political representation.
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Of the 400 new hires listed so far, at least 36 are registered former lobbyists, although Propublica noted the number is "almost certainly an undercount," since many lobbyists now avoid registering.
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Critics of the citizenship question had warned that it could cause an undercount of the population, particularly for minority groups like Hispanics who might skip the question or the census altogether.
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Questioning citizenship, in an age of increased immigration enforcement, stands to increase the likelihood of an undercount, threaten a constitutional right to be counted, and jeopardize equitable distribution of public funds.
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Wade, the addition of a census question that could cause an undercount of Hispanics, the stacking of the courts with far-right judges (the vast majority of whom are white men).
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In the United States, for example, a shortage of coronavirus testing kits has led to what experts believe is a significant undercount in the actual number of cases in the country.
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Public health authorities acknowledge that the number of confirmed cases, particularly in the United States, is almost certainly an undercount because of limited testing and the mild symptoms that some experience.
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It doesn't explain the frantic — yet unsuccessful — effort to put a question about citizenship on the census, which experts agree would lead to an undercount of people in immigrant-heavy communities.
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Dominici said it's important to keep in mind that this is definitely an undercount of costs, since it only accounts for the cost of hospitalization in one segment of the population.
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After the oral argument, it seemed certain the five conservative justices would hand the government a win despite evidence the question would spur a pronounced undercount of people in mostly Democratic states.
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Oversight Chairman Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) said in a statement: Read the DOJ's letter on executive privilege: Go deeper: 2020 Census could be worst undercount of black and Latinx people since 1990
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The official case and death figures may undercount the number of victims by as much as a quarter, as families try to nurse their relatives back to health rather than seeking treatment.
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But the findings, which used methods that have not been previously applied to this disaster, are important amid widespread concerns that the government's tally of the dead, 2000, was a dramatic undercount.
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As the nation rapidly moves toward a minority white society, one study this year found that next year's census could see the worst undercount of black and Latinx people in 30 years.
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First, this is a vendetta directed at California, a state which Trump lost by a large margin and will lose millions of dollars of federal funds as a result of an undercount.
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Opponents have said the question would cause a sizeable undercount by frightening immigrant households and Latinos from filling out the census forms, fearful that the information would be shared with law enforcement.
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But even without a citizenship question, the 2020 census is still projected to undercount people of color — even more so than the previous two surveys, according to a report from the Urban Institute.
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The nonpartisan Urban Institute recently noted that changes in how the census is administered -- particularly an increased reliance on internet responses and reduced emphasis on home visits -- could swell the undercount of minorities.
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Holder argued that including a question about citizenship status on the census would lead to a "targeted undercount" and result in political representation and federal resources shifted away from immigrant and minority communities.
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Now the justices will consider whether the citizenship question—which the government acknowledges will cause a significant undercount of immigrants and Hispanic Americans—was added for legitimate reasons and using the correct procedures.
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Experts say that adding a citizenship question would deter immigrants and minority residents from responding to the census, leading to an undercount in the predominantly Democratic areas where the bulk of them live.
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These changes, if they are not fully tested, make non-response and undercount more likely, and chronic underfunding throughout the decade has reduced the Census Bureau's capacity to research and test planned innovations.
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A so-called "undercount" of a state's population puts critical things at risk, including congressional seats and the allocation of federal funding for government assistance programs — which are both determined by the Census.
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Worried about an undercount, California and 25 other states are pouring close to a third of a billion dollars — an unheard-of sum — into pumping up response rates for the count next April.
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Opponents have said inclusion of the question would cause a severe undercount by frightening immigrant households and Latinos from filling out the census, fearful that the information would be shared with law enforcement.
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Liberal justices noted evidence presented by the Census Bureau's own experts that showed the citizenship question would lead to a population undercount, and, contrary to the administration's stated goal, less accurate citizenship data.
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Specifically, the Urban Institute projected that a census including the citizenship question could undercount Hispanics nationwide by 217%, while slightly overcounting whites and also significantly undercounting African Americans and more modestly missing Asian Americans.
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Democrats fighting the addition of the citizenship question insist its true aim is to scare immigrants away from filling out the questionnaire and, in so doing, undercount non-white voters who typically favor Democrats.
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"I am increasingly worried about a higher undercount in many communities," Terri Ann Lowenthal, the former co-director of the Census Project, told Politco this weekend in reference to Trump's approach to immigrant communities.
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So even though government experts warn that the query would scare off many Hispanic households, resulting in an undercount of some 6.5m people, the decision to ask it is not unconstitutional on those grounds.
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Opponents have said a citizenship question would cause a sizeable undercount by deterring immigrant households and Latinos from filling out the census forms, out of fear the information would be shared with law enforcement.
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Trump has said he was considering issuing an executive order to add the citizenship question on census forms, which opponents fear will lead to an undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with high immigrant populations.
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Democrats, immigrant advocates and demographers say such an undercount could deprive some communities of funds and political representation because the Census determines how the federal government distributes aid, as well as seats in Congress.
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Opponents of the citizenship question have argued that including it on the census would lead to an undercount of minority groups, particularly Hispanics and immigrants, and an overall inaccurate count of the U.S. population.
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Critics have called the citizenship question a Republican ploy to scare immigrants into not taking part in the census and engineer a population undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with high immigrant and Latino populations.
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At the time of the White House announcement, it was already clear that a lack of testing was contributing to an undercount of how many active Covid-19 cases were in the United States.
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The Commerce Department will add a question inquiring about citizenship to the 2020 Census, a move critics fear could undercount immigrant communities and thus cost diverse states and localities congressional representation and federal resources.
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Several demographers and disaster experts said these methods of counting -- tracking disaster-assistance claims and official changes of address -- may substantially undercount the true number of people who fled Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria.
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Abowd admitted the question could lower the response rate and quality of data in the 2020 census, but said it will not cause an undercount because the bureau will follow up with non-responders.
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Critics of the proposed question say that asking respondents about citizenship could depress census participation rates among noncitizens, resulting in an undercount in areas with high immigrant populations and skewing congressional representation among the states.
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Some papers in the last year of suggested there's an undercount of perhaps, you know, 5,000 deaths or so or maybe more that are counted as accidental overdose deaths from opioids rather than intentional ones.
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Critics of the proposed question say that adding respondents about citizenship could depress census participation rates among noncitizens, resulting in an undercount in areas with high immigrant populations and skewing congressional representation among the states.
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One limitation of the study is that it was based on information from the U.S. Census Bureau, which might undercount people 65 and older, resulting in an overestimation of death rates, the study authors note.
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The federal government tracks police shootings and killings through the FBI's Supplementary Homicide Reports (SHR) and the Bureau of Justice Statistics's Arrest-Related Deaths (ARD), but both vastly undercount the number of deaths to police.
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Mr. Rubio's coterie in Florida insists, despite all signs to the contrary, that the polls are wrong: that surveys undercount Spanish-speaking Republicans, for example, because many polling firms do not have enough bilingual interviewers.
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Critics have called the citizenship question a Republican ploy to scare immigrants into not taking part in the decennial population count and engineer an undercount in Democratic-leaning areas with high immigrant and Latino populations.
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New York Attorney General Letitia James, a Democrat, said her office looks forward to defending the lower court victory at the high court, citing the "far-reaching and long-lasting effects" of a census undercount.
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A 2016 IndyStar investigation revealed that over 20 years, at least 368 gymnasts had claimed some form of sexual abuse by their coaches, gym owners or other adults — almost certainly a vast undercount of victims.
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Mr. Ross said his review of whether to add the question did not support warnings that it would lead to an undercount of noncitizens and minorities who feared disclosing their citizenship status to the government.
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Given that the agency operates on a strict timeline, "the train is out of the station" and heading toward a large undercount and "historically disastrous census," said Phil Sparks, a director of the Census Project.
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Noting the estimated 4.9 percent undercount in the 2010 census, James Tucker, a Las Vegas attorney and vice chair on the National Advisory Committee to the Census Bureau, said the rate was likely much higher.
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Data from the questionnaire is used to determine how congressional seats and some $650bn in federal funds are allocated to the states, and experts agreed the new query would cause a severe undercount of immigrant households.
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Some think that Texas's leaders are willing to undercount their immigrant populations, even if it means forgoing federal funding and representation, because any extra seats in the House of Representatives would probably go to Democratic districts.
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Legal experts say Seeborg could have waited for the Supreme Court to act but may have decided to act because California with its large immigrant population has perhaps the most to lose in a census undercount.
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The intent of the citizenship question, opponents said, is to manufacture a deliberate undercount of areas with high immigrant and Latino populations, costing Democratic-leaning regions seats in the House, benefiting Republicans and non-Hispanic whites.
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"The evidence admitted in the trial of these actions demonstrates that a significant differential undercount, particularly impacting noncitizen and Latino communities, will result from the inclusion of a citizenship question on the 2020 Census," Seeborg wrote.
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"We have this added challenge, the atmosphere created in D.C. of deep distrust and legitimate fear created in the government, and our undercount could be in the millions," said Daniel Zingale, a senior strategist for Gov.
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Because most of these people live in predominantly Democratic areas, the undercount would weaken Democratic representation in states with large numbers of noncitizens, and skew the allotment of billions of federal dollars away from those areas.
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Activists feared the question would lead to an undercount of minorities, arguing many families would be too afraid that including noncitizens in counts of their household could lead to unwanted attention from Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
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Testing is only available for those who meet specific criteria, so although the US just reached the grim milestone of having the most confirmed coronavirus cases in the world, that number is almost certainly an undercount.
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In the complaint, prosecutors pointed to 19 children sickened by lead paint in public housing apartments between 2010 and 2016, a figure that the complaint noted — and lead-poisoning experts have agreed — is likely an undercount.
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Researchers think this number of deaths is an undercount, because while death certificates are the best way to track deaths in the US, the certificates often fail to capture the role alcohol plays in a death.
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The inclusion of the question deviates from the normal practice of field-testing questions extensively, for years, before adding them to the census and is likely to result in a significant undercount of people in immigrant communities.
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But there are nearly infinite places where it is ill-advised to take a selfie, and as the researchers noted in the study, the number of deaths they identified from media reports is almost certainly an undercount.
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A Reuters analysis of death certificates from 2003 to 2014 identified more than 20,000 deaths linked to the infections in California, the most of any state – and probably an undercount, given the unreliability of death certificate data.
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The aim, these critics have said, is to engineer a deliberate undercount of places with high immigrant and Latino concentrations, costing Democratic-leaning areas seats in the House to the benefit of Republicans and non-Hispanic whites.
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The losers from this undercount include members of Mr. Trump's older white base, who will suffer from lost investments in a younger generation, whose successes and contributions to the economy will be necessary to keep America great.
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Morial mentioned that in 2010 there was an undercount of children in some states, such as Florida, which affected the number of slots for children in daycare as well as federal funding for programs in the city.
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A Reuters analysis of death certificates from 2003 to 2014 identified more than 20,000 deaths linked to the infections in California, the most of any state - and probably an undercount, given the unreliability of death certificate data.
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Both Richard Alba, of CUNY, in "The Myth of the White Minority," and Herbert Gans, of Columbia, in "The Census and Right Wing Hysteria," argued that questionable census classifications led to an undercount of America's white majority.
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Experts don't know how large of an undercount the 2020 citizenship question could produce, but they warn that it could intimidate noncitizens and members of their households and social networks (including legal residents and United States citizens).
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Social benefits: Models often omit or undercount social benefits like health improvements and reductions in premature mortality from lower air pollution, reductions in disaster management costs, and the, uh, "use value" of a clean environment (hiking and stuff).
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An undercount for California in the upcoming census could result in the nation's most populous state losing a congressional seat and might jeopardize billions of dollars in federal funding for health care, transportation and education, state officials said.
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The Economic Policy Institute estimates that in 2012, there were nearly two million workers working in in-home occupations, although this is likely to be a substantial undercount because so much domestic work is paid under the table.
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Research from NAPW found 413 cases of US women whose pregnancies caused their arrest, detainment, or forced medical intervention from 1973 to 2005 — probably a drastic undercount, and not including 250 other cases NAPW knows about since 2005.
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - A federal judge in Manhattan has dismissed a lawsuit accusing the Trump administration of depriving the U.S. Census Bureau of funding needed to avert an undercount of racial and ethnic minorities in the 2020 census.
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The failure to count people anywhere in the US would disenfranchise residents there from federal funding, and an undercount as low as 1.5% would impact the apportionment of congressional seats and delegates to the Electoral College, plaintiffs said.
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In 2016 the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported about 6,100 cases of Legionnaires' disease (although public health officials think this is likely an undercount of true cases) in the US population of about 320 million people.
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Census Bureau officials have predicted a citizenship question would lead to an undercount of Hispanic and noncitizen households, which New York and other state challengers say would translate into less federal funding and political power for mainly Democratic locales.
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An undercount for California in the upcoming Census could result in the nation's most populous state losing a congressional seat and might jeopardize billions of dollars in federal funding for health care, transportation and education, according to state officials.
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A coalition of state attorneys general advised the Commerce Department last month against including the citizenship question, saying that in addition to undermining participation among immigrants, it would result in an undercount of the overall population in many areas.
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The Labor Department says about 4.2 million workers will gain overtime benefits as a result of the rule, though the populist Economic Policy Institute, which has argued strongly in favor of the rule, says this is a major undercount.
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And if enough people refused to respond, an undercount could cause those states to lose congressional seats, Christopher Warshaw, an assistant professor of political science at George Washington University who testified in the Supreme Court case, told VICE News.
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Opponents have called the question a Republican effort to frighten immigrant households and Latinos from participating in the census, leading to a severe and deliberate undercount, diminishing the electoral representation of Democratic-leaning areas in Congress and costing them federal funds.
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That could undercount the population in heavily diverse states including California, Texas, New Mexico, Nevada, New York, Florida and Georgia while leading to overcounts in mostly white states including Vermont, West Virginia, Maine, New Hampshire and Montana, the group calculated.
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The investigation also revealed that at least $1.8 million from DHS went to state and local law enforcement agencies to purchase the devices, although that number may be an undercount, as the agency does not keep records specific to the devices.
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The Public Affairs Alliance of Iranian Americans, or PAAIA, a nonprofit that claims to represent Iranian American interests before lawmakers and the general public, said that number is an undercount, and that the actual number ranges from 500,000 to 1 million.
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"The government stopped asking this question, along with dozens of others on the census, when it realized that these questions were harming the accuracy of the population count and were specifically causing an undercount of communities of color," Ho said.
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"The government stopped asking this question, along with dozens of others on the census when it realized that these questions were harming the accuracy of the population count and were specifically causing an undercount of communities of color," Ho said.
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"By demanding the citizenship status of each resident, the Trump administration is breaking with decades of policy and potentially causing a major undercount that would threaten billions in federal funds and New York's fair representation in Congress and the Electoral College."
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It has also sought to require respondents to the 2020 census to note whether they are citizens ; if this change is implemented, it will likely result in an undercount of immigrants, because many will be too frightened to declare their status.
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The Urban Institute projects that if the 20203 census included the question, it could be the largest undercount since 1990, with 3.68 percent of African Americans and 3.57 percent of Latinx likely to be unaccounted for in the national tallies.
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That number is likely an undercount: many gun thefts are never reported, and even when they are, victims often do not know the serial numbers to their guns, making it difficult for authorities to tie them back to a crime.
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But more to the point, it would play into Steve Bannon's greatest dream, which would be to have a systematic undercount of vulnerable communities, particularly communities of color, that would result in reduced political representation and reduced availability of basic services.
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Many critics contend that that reason was to dissuade frightened noncitizens — both legal and illegal residents — from participating in the census, producing an undercount that would skew both federal money and political power away from urban areas and toward rural ones.
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"In terms of apportionment, [an undercount] could lead California, Texas, and potentially other states to lose a congressional seat," Christopher Warshaw, an assistant professor of political science at George Washington University who testified in the Supreme Court case, told VICE News.
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Barreto is also sharply critical of most polling of Hispanics and of exit polls in particular, arguing that the lack of Spanish-speaking interviewers results in an undercount of Hispanic turnout as well as inaccurate estimates of Republican and Democratic votes.
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If economic growth is considered, independent analysis still finds the bill would add at least $1 trillion to the deficit, though the White House and Republicans have repeatedly argued that those estimates undercount growth that will be sparked by the bill.
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But a number do bear directly on central questions being pursued by the House committee and the lawsuit plaintiffs: whether placing a citizenship question on the census was a partisan political scheme meant to undercount residents in largely Democratic areas.
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The fate of the census under President Donald Trump has been closely watched by voting-rights advocates worried that the administration — which has already made unsupported claims about voter fraud — might nudge it in directions that over- or undercount some Americans.
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Although the FBI report is the most comprehensive look at the nation's hate crimes released every year, the report is known to be woefully inadequate — because it may undercount the number by the hundreds of thousands, based on other federal surveys.
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The fuzziness of the 500,000 figure — which many activists suspect is an undercount — gives room for right-wing groups to hype the threat and FGM apologists to play it down, each side using the lack of hard numbers to boost their argument.
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Opponents have accused the Trump administration of devising a citizenship question to use the census to pursue the political objectives of Trump's fellow Republicans by engineering an undercount of the true population and reducing the electoral representation of Democratic-leaning communities in Congress.
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Friday's conference proved highly significant, with the justices agreeing to decide the fate of a bid by President Donald Trump's administration to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census, which opponents say will scare immigrant communities from participating, leading to an undercount.
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The Supreme Court ruled after states and civil rights groups fought the Trump administration for trying to add the question, saying it was a Republican ploy to scare immigrants into not participating and leading to a population undercount in heavily Democratic areas.
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Almost 10,000 migrants worked in the construction sector as of June, up from 6,000 five years ago according to the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, though this was likely to be an undercount as it excluded migrants living in temporary accommodation.
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WASHINGTON — The 2020 census will ask respondents whether they are United States citizens, the Commerce Department announced Monday night, agreeing to a Trump administration request with highly charged political and social implications that many officials feared would result in a substantial undercount.
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The court will decide before the end of June whether Wilbur Ross, the commerce secretary, was justified under federal law in adding the citizenship question — a move that would nearly certainly lead to a serious undercount of Hispanics in immigrant-rich communities.
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When the Trump administration announced last year it was adding a citizenship question to the census, opponents argued the results would undercount noncitizens and legal immigrants — who tend to live in places that vote Democratic — and shift political power to Republican areas.
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Opponents have called the citizenship question a Republican scheme to deter immigrants from taking part in the census in an effort to engineer a deliberate population undercount in Democratic-leaning areas to decrease the number of U.S. House seats held by Democrats.
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Census experts have warned that a question about citizenship status will deter immigrants from responding altogether, leading to a potentially significant undercount in parts of the country with large immigrant populations, which could affect federal funding to states and representation in Congress.
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By the bureau's own, nonpartisan analysis, adding a citizenship question to the "short form" that will go to every household in America in 2020 could result in an undercount of 6.5 million people — close to the entire population of Indiana or Tennessee.
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A significant undercount of minorities would skew the allotment of hundreds of billions of dollars in federal money, distort business decisions based on census data and potentially alter the reapportionment of state and local political districts and the House of Representatives in 2021.
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All of the court's four liberals sounded highly skeptical about Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross' decision, which three federal judges found illegal because it lacked a coherent explanation and could lead to a large undercount of noncitizens as well as Americans of Hispanic origin.
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Because the once-a-decade census is used to determine congressional and political districts and to dole out federal resources, an undercount in heavily immigrant areas could substantially impact certain states and major cities and potentially their representation at the federal level.
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The actions may not have a direct impact on most immigrants in the U.S., but the fear and uncertainty the policies create could keep immigrants from benefits they qualify for or result in an undercount of Latino populations in the 2020 Census.
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Because census data is used to apportion seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, dole out federal funding and serve as the basis for state-level political districts, an undercount of immigrants could affect a state or city's political representation for a decade.
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Adding a citizenship question to those changes, especially in an atmosphere of intense political tension over immigration, could produce "an undercount of a magnitude we haven't seen in a decade or two or more," says Diana Elliott, a senior research associate at the institute.
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He also said death certificates may undercount MRSA deaths because the physician may cite a general infection-related condition – death due to sepsis, for example – without mentioning the actual bacteria involved, or merely describe the mechanics of death, such as organ failure or cardiac arrest.
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I will acknowledge, though, that Mayor de Blasio and Steve Banks are now taking this issue very seriously with their announcement a few weeks ago to add 300 shelter beds, and it is apparent to us that they are recognizing that this is an undercount.
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Due to the lack of preparedness, we are still lacking testing capacity for coronavirus, and experts say we're still in the dark as to how many cases there even are in the US, so the current estimate could be an undercount by many times over.
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The census hopes to avoid an undercount by using partners who can help lay the groundwork in minority communities, hiring people with knowledge of local neighborhoods to do the actual count and producing videos in 59 languages that explain how to fill out census forms.
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - A new lawsuit in New York accuses the Trump administration of starving the U.S. Census Bureau of funding needed to avert an undercount of racial and ethnic minorities in the 2020 census, and deprive them of crucial federal funds and political representation.
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More broadly, although the FBI's report is the most comprehensive look at the nation's hate crimes released every year, it is known to be woefully inadequate — because other federal surveys suggest it may undercount the number of hate crimes by the hundreds of thousands.
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We already undercount black and Latino residents as it is, and the fear is that it would further exacerbate this miscount: The Trump administration has argued that the citizenship question is needed on the census to get a better count of voting-age citizens.
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Critics of the citizenship question say it will lead to a decline in the number of people responding to the census, resulting in an undercount of minority communities and therefore the allocation of congressional seats and the distribution of billions of federal dollars to states and localities.
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Furthermore, they worried, having an official government form in the age of Trump ask people if they were US citizens would make immigrants and their families afraid to return the form — leading to an undercount in the census that made America appear whiter than it really was.
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But for Judge Hazel and for Judge Richard Seeborg, altering the census form for "no reasonable governmental purpose" when the expected result is a large undercount of the individuals living in America amounts to a violation of the opening lines of Article I of the constitution.
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The Trump administration is fighting half a dozen lawsuits, including one brought by blue states like California, over a decision to ask respondents whether they are U.S. citizens, something opponents believe will lead to an undercount in states where the population with undocumented immigrants is high.
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The Trump administration's announcement that it would add the question to the survey was met almost immediately with a wave of legal challenges, arguing that requiring individuals to provide their citizenship status would cause some to avoid the survey altogether and cause an undercount of the population.
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"As we've argued, the Trump administration's plan to demand citizenship status as part of the Census is unlawful — and it would potentially cause a huge undercount that would threaten billions in federal funds and New York's fair representation in Congress and the Electoral College," she said.
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - Adding a citizenship question to the 2020 U.S. Census questionnaire will yield a "systemic undercount" of immigrants by frightening some away from responding, warned a witness on the first day of a trial that could shape the U.S. political landscape for a decade.
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It's unclear how much of a difference dropping the question will make, but to the extent that this was a plot to undercount heavily Latino states and therefore advantage Republicans in the next redistricting for the House of Representatives, it seems to have been foiled, for now.
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But the FBI tally generally is considered an undercount because of uneven reporting by authorities or because victims are too fearful to report; Muslim, Sikh, Arab American, and other advocacy groups all said Tuesday that they received far more reports in 2100 than were counted by the FBI.
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NEW YORK, April 17 (Reuters) - An array of U.S. companies have told the Trump administration that a citizenship question on the 2020 Census would harm business if it leads to an undercount of immigrants, undermining the data they use to place stores, plan inventory and plot ad campaigns.
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" The supposed undercount of "particularly noncitizens and hispanics" who would be "less likely to participate in the census for fear that the data could be used against them and their loved ones," would thus "translate into a loss of political power and funds, among other harms, for various plaintiffs.
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"As we've argued, the Trump administration's plan to demand citizenship status as part of the Census is unlawful -- and it would potentially cause a huge undercount that would threaten billions in federal funds and New York's fair representation in Congress and the Electoral College," Underwood said in a statement.
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Never mind that the government's own experts had warned that asking the question would scare away immigrants from participating, and could result in an undercount of more than six million people that could reduce federal funds to the cities they live in as well as the number of Democrats in Congress.
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The latest suit repeats those claims, but also argues that the administration added the question to deter Asian-Americans, Latinos and some immigrants from completing census forms for fear that the information would be used against them or members of their household, and thus undercount them in the final census tally.
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Questions about the health of American democracy are being raised in areas once thought to be wholly nonpartisan, as reflected in a court battle over whether the Trump administration is trying to use a question about citizenship on the 22008 census to undercount Democratic constituencies and limit their political clout.
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The absence of some of the biggest hate crime attacks is a reminder that the FBI's tally is always an undercount, regarded by extremism trackers as a helpful tool, but far from a comprehensive gauge of the bias-motivated violence that has increased in tandem with the rise of President Donald Trump.
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Eighteen U.S. states, 15 cities and a handful of civil rights groups are asking U.S. District Judge Jesse Furman in New York to remove the citizenship question, saying it will frighten immigrants into abstaining from the 2020 census, costing their communities political representation and access to federal aid due to a population undercount.
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In a move that would presumably help Mr. Trump's party, they seemed ready to side with the administration and disregard the many irregularities in how Mr. Ross sought to push the citizenship question — which the government stopped asking in the 1950s because of the projected undercount in communities with large immigrant populations.
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The New Orleans Saints maintain their behind-the-scenes public relations work on the area's Roman Catholic sexual abuse crisis was "minimal," but attorneys suing the church allege hundreds of confidential Saints emails show the team actively helping to shape a list of credibly accused clergy that appears to be an undercount.
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The ads will run on TV and in print and digital media, as the bureau tries to drive up participation amid recent fears about the use of census data and concern that the census will undercount minority groups — which would impact everything from redistricting to federal grant spending for the next 10 years.
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Why it matters: With the current polarized political climate, opponents say legal and undocumented immigrants would refuse to participate, and demographers believe that an undercount would skew the distribution of federal funds among states and reduce the political power of heavily Democratic states with large immigrant communities during the next round of redistricting in 2021.
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Testifying for states, cities and civil rights groups in the trial's first day on Monday, Duke University political scientist Sunshine Hillygus said adding the question to the once-a-decade census "will lead to systemic undercount of Hispanic and non-citizen households" and there is little the Census Bureau can do to avoid that.
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The main witness in the case, Census Bureau Chief Scientist Dr. John Abowd, testified during the trial that adding the citizenship question to the census would likely not result in an undercount of the population overall, because the bureau has a follow-up process where it will visit the houses of individuals who have not returned their forms.
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"How can an agency support the decision to add a question to the short form, thereby risking a significant undercount of the population, on the ground that it will improve the accuracy of citizenship data, when in fact the evidence indicates that adding the question will harm the accuracy of citizenship data?" he wrote in his concurring opinion.
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The problem is that financial regulations are just fundamentally different from, say, pollution regulations, or office safety rules, in at least three key ways: There's also a case to be made for the limits of cost-benefit analysis in general, as it tends to undercount benefits even when used in realms for which it's better suited.
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In the 217 reapportionment that will be based on the census results, such an undercount could shift congressional seats -- and Electoral College votes -- from diverse states mostly within the Sun Belt (particularly California, Texas, Arizona and Florida) toward more predominantly white states mostly across the Rust Belt (Ohio, Minnesota and Montana are among the states that have been projected as possible winners).
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There's a direct connection between Trump's fair housing lawsuit, the Exonerated 5, his election as President, his administration's push for a cooked-up Census question designed to undercount people of color and help white Republican candidates win, to now, where his administration is effectively banning the likeness of Harriet Tubman — a black woman and towering figure in American history — from the $20 bill.
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" From Keith Ellison (D-Minn.), wrote, "Make no mistake: The addition of a citizenship question in the Census is intended to intimidate our immigrant friends and neighbors from participating, which will lead to an inaccurate count… The consequences of an undercount in the next census will have a serious negative impact on every individual, citizen or not, in our country.
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That might be an undercount — or, conversely, it could count migrants who were wrongly suspected of being MS-213-affiliated because a Border Patrol agent misunderstood their tattoos, or because they had relatives who were in MS-213 but weren't themselves, or who had been coerced into joining the gang and had fled to the US to escape its clutches.
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"President TrumpDonald John TrumpFacebook releases audit on conservative bias claims Harry Reid: 'Decriminalizing border crossings is not something that should be at the top of the list' Recessions happen when presidents overlook key problems MORE is adding the citizenship question into his toxic stew of racist rants and draconian policies in order to stoke fear, undercount, and strip political power from immigrant communities," Sarah Brannon, managing attorney of the ACLU's Voting Rights Project, said in a statement.
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The administration's decision, which Ross announced last March, was immediately challenged by a number of states and localities led by California's Attorney General Xavier BecerraXavier BecerraCalifornia leads states in lawsuit over Trump public charge rule Overnight Energy: Trump sparks new fight over endangered species protections | States sue over repeal of Obama power plant rules | Interior changes rules for ethics watchdogs California counties file first lawsuit over Trump 'public charge' rule MORE (D), who in the past has said that adding such a question would "derail the integrity of the census" and potentially undercount the population of the U.S. "It would discourage noncitizens and their citizen family members from responding to the census, resulting in a less accurate population count," Becerra wrote in an op-ed last year.
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