Academy Capital Management is even more bearish on IBM's prospects.
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Economists had turned more bearish on the city-state's economy recently.
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In every case, the boffins were more bearish than the bettors.
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Mizuho also penned a more bearish note on semiconductor stocks Friday.
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Some economists are more bearish because of cuts in oil output.
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Still, Fasanara may be among the more bearish market watchers out there.
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Technology's big gains in recent years have another analyst feeling more bearish.
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"The economy is a lot more bearish than last year," he said.
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The survey also showed investors had turned more bearish on the euro.
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S&P's iron ore assumptions are more bearish than others in the market.
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But there are still those in the markets with a more bearish outlook.
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"(Investors) are getting more bearish and less optimistic about the outlook," Nolte added.
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Filia's long-term forecast for oil prices is far more bearish than some.
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Year-on-year results at Christie's on Thursday evening were even more bearish.
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When analysts start to sound more bearish, oil bottoms and restarts its climb.
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Goldman Sachs warned that its outlook for the country was turning more bearish.
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Earnings season is at our doorstep, and Wall Street has become more bearish.
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The technical trend has turned more bearish for gold, CMC Markets' Yang said.
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But while UBS was sanguine on the ringgit, other analysts were far more bearish.
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This measure of sentiment has grown notably more bearish since the beginning of April.
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C. based organization also turned more bearish on many emerging and low-income countries.
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"If prices were to break below $35, then my view would turn more bearish."
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Thirty-eight of 82 strategists said they were more bearish and 37 were more bullish.
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Goldman Sachs, perhaps the world's most influential commodity bank, stuck to a more bearish view.
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Fitzpatrick sees a more bearish picture, with a decline to the $1.80 area by 2024.
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Since then, Faber has generally only become more and more bearish as stocks have climbed.
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It's also a much more bearish outlook than typical from the Wall Street analyst crowd.
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Wall Street has been turning more bearish on Tesla, at least in the short term.
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Aluminium touched the weakest since August last year as speculators piled on more bearish positions.
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A break of its January 13 high of 21 percent could turn investors even more bearish.
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A break of its January 2014 high of 3.041 percent could turn investors even more bearish.
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Funds are now taking an ever more bearish view of copper's prospects on the CME market.
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Some analysts were more bearish than their peers, to the point of tilting toward the apocalyptic.
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A break above its January 2014 peak of 23 percent could turn investors even more bearish.
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A higher fee indicates willingness from investors to short a stock, and therefore more bearish sentiment.
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The only other time specs were more bearish on meal was for seven weeks between Dec.
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Hedge fund managers have become progressively more bearish about petroleum prices in recent weeks (tmsnrt.rs/2ti1hd0).
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The self-proclaimed "unrepentant gold bull" is now more bearish because of last week's impressive jobs data.
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Once that is past, though, investors will be looking at indicators that are more bearish, he said.
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However, some investors are more bearish on the stock, unsure if Yelp will remain competitive moving forward.
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Mr. Li has a reputation as being more bearish during financial crises than other Chinese government economists.
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For example, sentiment in Exxon Mobil, the largest U.S. energy company by market value, has grown more bearish.
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The whole oil and products complex remains well bid, pushing more bearish traders and analysts to the margins.
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The bond market has priced in a far more bearish picture on the economy since the Fed meeting.
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Wednesday's supply-demand data from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) could herald a more bearish trend, analysts said.
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Wednesday's supply-demand data from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) could trigger a more bearish trend, analysts said.
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Moreover, during the current decade, the outlook for gas prices has become even more bearish than for oil.
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Larry McDonald, editor of the Bear Traps Report, is more bearish on the tech sector as a whole.
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Hedge funds and other money managers became steadily more bearish about the outlook even as prices continued to decline.
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But if foreign investors are wary of another tilt at the yuan, sentiment inside China is turning more bearish.
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The bond market has priced in a far more bearish picture on the economy since the Feds July meeting.
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"Inputs on the speculative side are certainly more bearish than bullish," said analysts at JBC Energy in a report.
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Standard Chartered is more bearish, predicting a 4.2 percent recession in 2016, worse than last year's 3.8 percent contraction.
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Some analysts expect a more bearish supply-demand picture when the U.S. government issues weekly oil data on Wednesday.
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Investors, however, turned more bearish on the Philippine peso PHP=PDSP, with short positions at their highest since November.
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But IEA data on the 35 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries paints a more bearish picture.
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Two things follow from this analysis, one more bullish for the outlook for oil prices, and one more bearish.
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Based on conversations with White House insiders, I can tell you they're more bearish than ever about the outcome.
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But even before the capital controls, Goldman Sachs warned that its outlook for the country was turning more bearish.
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Market sentiment became more bearish as shifting U.S. policy on Iran had less immediate impact than initially feared, analysts said.
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Oil prices fell after eight sessions of gains as climbing OPEC exports and a stronger dollar turned sentiment more bearish.
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However, a more bearish case for the dollar can be made when looking it is compared to the Japanese yen.
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More bearish was a 6683 million-barrel rise in gasoline stocks, compared with forecasts for a 1.2 million-barrel gain.
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The new stance of 20163,275 contracts on the short side is just moderately more bearish than last week's 45,828 (reut.rs/2oR7R3g).
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"Fast Money" contributor and Private Advisor Group's Guy Adami is much more bearish on the stock, noting its declining revenue stream.
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"The U.S. production factor has taken on a more bearish appearance as the oil rig counts have increased appreciably," Ritterbusch said.
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If gold sees a major break to the upside, this would suggest investors are more bearish on equities and the economy.
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Hedge funds have become progressively more bearish towards WTI prices, with limited long positions and near record short positions (tmsnrt.rs/1mSQON4).
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"The OPEC meeting is looking more bearish by the day," Kilduff said, noting that oil was also moving on technical factors.
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Knowing there was a "very credible" bid on the table in 2013 keeps Irwin from being more bearish on the stock today.
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Despite a more bearish view of the property market, only three of 11 analysts polled predicted that prices would fall this year.
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In the near term, however, it is more bearish than analysts, who expect Santos to book a $337 million profit in 2017.
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Service firms, which handle drilling and hydraulic fracturing in the oil field, had a more bearish outlook than exploration and production firms.
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Texas Republicans, especially in the House, are cognizant of this — they're a lot more bearish on the wall than the Trump administration.
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The same factor is making Samuel Tombs, chief U.K. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, more bearish on sterling than some of his peers.
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We've been locked in a trading range since May, but I bet people come out of the Fed meeting feeling more bearish.
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Seventeen said they were more bearish, only five said they were more bullish, and the remaining six strategists said they were less bearish.
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His research firm is more bearish on Russia than the IMF, forecasting its economy could contract by near to 2 percent in 2016.
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But he does not expect that rise to coincide with a precipitous decline in global demand for gasoline, contrary to more bearish views.
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One of the more bearish analysts is Romit Shah of Nomura Instinet, who has a reduce rating and a price target of $90.
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Money managers now hold more bearish bets, or short positions, on Brent than at any time since ICE began collecting data in 2011.
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Citigroup analysts also see a more bearish case for oil, with the prices heading toward the $50s this year, instead of the $60s.
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Berenberg's reassuring forecast contradicts several more bearish calls pointing to highly valued stocks as indications of an asset bubble that's waiting to pop.
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Jose Francisco Goncalves, chief economist at Banco Fator in Sao Paulo, was even more bearish, penciling in a contraction of up to 3.5%.
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Some of the biggest names in the hedge fund world have been taking more bearish positions, including Bridgewater, the world's largest hedge fund.
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Still, half of respondents did say they've become more bearish on tech stocks compared to their view at the beginning of the year.
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Specs have only been more bearish on 10-year U.S. bonds in 10 weeks since comparable figures were first compiled in the mid-1990s.
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Those forecasts led Goldman to take a more bearish view of solar manufacturers exposed to the Chinese market and firms throughout the supply chain.
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Feeling more bearish, Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors, says Tesla's balance sheet is a major impediment to any long-term gains.
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Apple – HSBC downgraded Apple to "hold" from "buy," saying that although it is bullish on U.S. demand, it is more bearish on emerging market potential.
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Hedge funds and other speculators have turned more bearish toward crude and refined products in the last two months amid signs of a gasoline glut.
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Cooperman said he considered himself "an uninformed optimist," but said investors who take a more bearish view on the coronavirus' economic impact should respond accordingly.
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The sentiment from the options market is more bearish heading into earnings than in prior quarters, said Stacey Gilbert, head of derivative strategy at Susquehanna.
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Investors may be getting more bearish on traditional auto stocks, but Tesla is surging as investors make a bet on the potential of electric cars.
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Despite a retesting of those levels, Worth cautions that when stocks "hit the head" like this, it's often an indicator of more bearish activity ahead.
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Analysts are now more bearish on Snap than any other large U.S.-listed stock, with research analysts' current median price target at $15.50, according to FactSet.
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Overall, respondents foreign and domestic have become more bearish about the global economy, lowering their outlook for Japan, Latin America (ex-Brazil), and the United States.
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The current sell-side ratings and short interest level for the sector are one standard deviation more bearish than the average during the last 15 years.
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Yields on 30-year Treasuries stood at 1.9441%, below 3-month T-bill yields of 1.9951%, which some traders say is an even more bearish signal.
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Yields on 30-year Treasuries stood at 1.9554%, below 3-month T-bill yields of 1.9951%, which some traders say is an even more bearish signal.
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Now an even more bearish tone hangs over agricultural markets due to trade spats with NAFTA partners Canada and Mexico, plus mounting tensions with China and Europe.
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Auto stocks led the gains after the bank's auto analysts recommended contrarian investors buy select carmakers after the survey showed investors grew more bearish on the sector.
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While banks are unlikely to be affected, entities more sensitive to short-term funding costs may have a more bearish outlook as a result, the trader said.
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Traders said near-term sentiment appeared to be turning more bearish with concerns over possible June interest rate rises and upcoming data on US non-farm payrolls.
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By the time of our 2033Q16 survey which closed mid-February, as investors became more bearish on a range of risks, the proportion had risen to 77%.
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RegentAtlantic Chief Investment Officer Chris Cordaro is a bit more bearish about U.S. economic growth, but still believes there are opportunities to make money in this economy.
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Investors are more bearish on the euro, since Treasury yields look set to remain among the highest in developed markets despite future Fed rate cuts, analysts say.
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To be sure, some of these views are far more bearish than mainstream opinion in China from state-controlled brokerages, long-only fund managers, or official media.
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In the past, when an economic shock such as the U.S.-China trade war led to more bearish expectations, the Fed was often too slow to respond.
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Even though more bearish voices claim the market for Align's invisible teeth-straightening products is saturated, Cramer held on to his bullish thesis for the dentistry play.
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The poll of 24 analysts and traders showed they had become significantly more bullish on palladium and more bearish on platinum since a similar survey three months ago.
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The poll of 0003 analysts and traders showed they had become significantly more bullish on palladium and more bearish on platinum since a similar survey three months ago.
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By early October, hedge funds had become more bearish about the outlook for oil than at any time since just after the start of the year (tmsnrt.rs/73NjGzkn).
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According to Worth's analysis, while the stock has traditionally been able to recover after testing the upward resistance, its recent break lower could be signaling more bearish momentum.
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Investors are more bearish on the euro, since U.S. Treasury yields look set to remain among the highest in developed markets despite future Fed rate cuts, analysts say.
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It was hit by broker downgrades in the previous session, and on Thursday Deutsche Bank provided more bearish comments on the stock, initiating coverage with a "sell" rating.
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LONDON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The Angolan market was looking more bearish on Friday, traders said, after China's Unipec, normally a big buyer, turned to selling cargoes this week.
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"We've had clients say to us we're out on a limb now as everyone else becomes more bearish on bonds," said Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Rabobank.
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Looking closer at the individual names, BoAML analysts see "bullish setups" for Coca-Cola, Merck, Pfizer and Verizon, while they are more bearish on Exxon Mobil, IBM and JPM.
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We have inflation and the potential for rate hikes plus the short term inflows into the economy pulling it upward versus a more bearish medium term view of growth.
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But if the errors are mostly concentrated on the demand side, then anything which causes economic growth and fuel demand to slow in 2016 would be even more bearish.
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Investors are more bearish on the euro given that Treasury yields look set to remain one of the highest in developed markets despite future Fed rate cuts, analysts say.
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"The main reason for price expectations to have turned more bearish is the intensive policy tightening in the past two months," said Zhang Dawei, a property analyst at Centaline.
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We're much more bearish on Southeast Asia both in terms of ... Well, because you're banging up against ... You're banging up against Grab, who's ... Who's already been in this space.
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Portfolio managers were even more bearish towards middle distillates such as diesel, jet fuel and heating oil, cutting their net long position in European gasoil by 9 million barrels.
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This contrasts with more bearish bets placed in the U.S. market, where investors cut net long U.S. crude positions last week, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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SocGen expects the cash lead price to average $1,775 this year, but more bearish analysts in a Reuters poll last month forecast the price falling as low as $1,609.
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"What made the release even more bearish was the fact that we also saw large stock builds for gasoline and distillate fuel oil," ING Economics said in a note.
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"The strong growth that is expected in U.S. production supports our more bearish outlook for the oil market," Hamza Khan, head of ING commodities strategy, said in a note.
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Chris Whalen, senior managing director of Kroll Bond Rating Agency, is more bearish on the banks, noting that large banks are unlikely to see much margin lift from rising rates.
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While their annual forecast is getting more bearish, J.D. Power and LMC say July will be extremely strong, with a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of sales of 303 million vehicles.
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Oil prices fell more than 22019 percent on Wednesday, sharply pulling back from their longest bull-run in more than five years, as climbing OPEC exports turned sentiment more bearish.
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Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch The sell side indicator is a contrarian metric, implying that as Wall Street grows more bullish toward stocks, the more bearish the measurement becomes.
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The forecast is far more bearish than the consensus forecast of Wall Street, which still calls for earnings to rise 7.7% this year, according to Refinitiv data as of Thursday.
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One of the more bearish outlooks comes from Goldman Sachs, which has a neutral rating on the stock and lowered its price target to $301 from $324 earlier this week.
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Oil prices slumped to two-week lows as global stock markets fell, with investor sentiment made more bearish by an industry report showing U.S. crude inventories rising more than expected.
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He added that he may get more bearish if by the weekend the market is still trading poorly despite stocks being in an outside reversal week and a good employment number.
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Oil prices slumped to more than two-week lows on Thursday as global stock markets fell, with investor sentiment made more bearish by a bigger-than-expected U.S. crude inventories build.
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"The US production factor has taken on a more bearish appearance as the oil rig counts have increased appreciably," Ritterbusch said, ahead of another rise in weekly U.S. rig count reading.
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Portfolio managers have become more bearish on the outlook for distillate prices than for either crude or gasoline, likely reflecting concerns about the impact of a slowing economy on distillate consumption.
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"They (Singapore) are not turning more bearish on the economy but they are very mindful of the downside risks and quite rightly so," said Vishnu Varathan, senior economist for Mizuho Bank.
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Why it matters: While that is true, manufacturing is a leading indicator, and more bearish investors have insisted the sector's decline would drag the rest of the economy down with it.
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"Not only are they holding net short positions in these 10-year Treasury futures, but they're more bearish than they've ever been at any other time in living memory," Cramer said.
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Sterling hit a 10-month low against the euro as investors grew more bearish about Britain's economic outlook after consumer spending fell for a third month in a row in July.
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The December survey of professional forecasters, sent out in late November, by the city-state's central bank, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), found economists turned more bearish since the previous survey.
|
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"The sharp deceleration in demand growth in recent months (especially gasoline) is a key feature of our more bearish view and expectations for a longer rebalancing period," analysts at Morgan Stanley said.
|
|
And while some Wall Street analysts are getting more bullish on the company's turnaround efforts, "Options Action" trader Mike Khouw says the options market is telling a different — and more bearish — story.
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Investors are seen weighing bullish factors that include potential supply disruptions to Iranian crude exports against more bearish indicators, such as a ramp-up in production by OPEC and its allied partners.
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While CFOs are overall more bearish on the global economy, they are upbeat about growth in the technology sector with 29.5 percent saying technology will grow the most over the next six months.
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The FTSE is still up more than 2 percent so far this year but has underperformed the broader pan-European STOXX 600 index, as some brokers have turned more bearish on British equities.
|
|
Sentiment in the oil market has shifted in recent days, with hedge funds, producers and traders all taking a more bearish tack in response to what they see as weakness in worldwide demand.
|
|
LONDON (Reuters) - Hedge fund managers have started to turn more bearish on oil as concerns about a slowing global economy and an over-extended price rally outweigh fears about sanctions and supply disruptions.
|
|
Apple is set to report its quarterly earnings after the bell on Thursday, and while the market is largely expecting the company to beat its earnings expectations, some have a more bearish outlook.
|
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CHICAGO (Reuters) - The market expected bearish wheat news from the U.S. Department of Agriculture's new-crop supply and demand report on Tuesday, but the news was way more bearish than anyone had surmised.
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Even the weakest of the three, Kate, is poised for year-over-year growth, however it is the only of these names that the crowd is more bearish on as compared to Wall Street.
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In a sign that investors have turned more bearish towards French debt, the gap or spread between French and German bond yields has widened to around 44 bps - levels last seen in July 2015.
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Options markets show investors are more bearish on the euro over the next six and 12 months than at any time since November, though this is also partly because of a recent dollar rally.
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Some believe that it will, but Morgan Stanley strategists said in a note Wednesday that they would not buy the dip and they are more bearish than before the election because of the uncertainty.
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But sentiment in the property sector has also turned more bearish recently following a surge in failed land auctions as the economy slows and policymakers remain unwilling to loosen their control of the sector.
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In a sign that investors have turned more bearish toward French debt, the gap or spread between French and German bond yields has widened to around 44 bps - levels last seen in July 2015.
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|
"The market will be weighing this attack against the more bearish headlines stemming from the IEA's latest monthly oil market report," BNP Paribas global oil strategist Harry Tchilinguirian told the Reuters Global Oil Forum.
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Other investors are even more bearish, avoiding the gaming space as valuations remain high, concerns around U.S.-China trade relations linger, and the growth within the Chinese territory of Macau is on shaky ground.
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Energy market participants are currently seen weighing bullish factors that include potential supply disruptions to Iranian crude exports against more bearish indicators, such as the darkening global economic outlook and a resurgent U.S. dollar.
|
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Goldman Sachs which reportedly closed out its call for dollar strength versus an equally weighted basket of the euro and yen just six weeks into 2016 is among the more bearish forecasters reassessing the euro.
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Goldman Sachs is now expecting a 5% annualized drop in US gross domestic product during the second quarter while ING is even more bearish, predicting that US GDP will fall at a staggering 8% rate.
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He said through a spokesman on Monday that he still thinks there are several innings to go before a downturn begins and that he is more bearish on bond prices than stocks at the moment.
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The latest Commitment of Traders Report shows that managed money has reduced a number of their long positions and added to shorts which signals a belief by them the market has taken a more bearish outlook.
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|
But the unusually large amount of gasoline and oil in storage, combined with expectations of a ramp-up in crude production, has made traders more bearish on the price outlook for late 21.66 and early 21.37.
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But other reports have been more bearish on iPhone sales, and KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo believes that Apple will ship fewer iPhone 7 units in 2016 than it did iPhone 6S units last year.
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"A lot of the bearish news is out there, so how much more bearish can you be when we know there is a lot of grain and oilseeds?" said Stefan Vogel, global grain strategist at Rabobank.
|
|
Gartner analyst Brian Blau was even more bearish on the prospects of Apple AR and VR. telling me last year that the market was still too unsettled to deliver the kind of "mass market volumes" Apple prefers.
|
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Though market positioning had become decisively less bearish towards sterling before the Bank of England's decision to raise interest rates last week, investors have become a bit more bearish about the outlook after this week's political turmoil.
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Last week many oil market speculators agreed with a more bearish outlook as data from the InterContinentalExchange (ICE) showed that net long positions on Brent had been cut to 355,225 contracts in the week to April 5.
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FROST: ONE THING I THINK WAS CONSUMER IN THE U.S. SEEMS STRONG, PERHAPS COOPERATE OPTIMISM LESS SO OVERALL YOUR THEME ON THE CALL WAS MORE BEARISH THAN YOU'VE BEEN RECENTLY IS THAT FAIR DIMON: A LITTLE BIT.
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" However, regular "Fast Money" trader Guy Adami — who is also director of advisor advocacy at Private Advisor Group — was a bit more bearish on how long these issues could take to play out: "It's scary, No. 1.
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The company took a more bearish view on its expected earnings and would have had to present a new set of figures to the analysts, who have worked out how to value the company, another person said.
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Investors are currently seen weighing bullish factors that include potential supply disruptions to Iranian crude exports against more bearish indicators, such as broad greenback strength and a ramp-up in production by OPEC and its allied partners.
|
|
LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Sentiment in the oil market has shifted dramatically in recent days, with hedge funds, producers and traders all taking a more bearish tack in response to what they see as weakness in worldwide demand.
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But for those more bearish on the prospects of international travel Geerts says Russia's domestic tourism sector, which is expected to see local trips rise from 118 million to 139 million by 2019, is now ripe for investment.
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The Citi analysts said while they forecast lower prices next year, they are even more bearish on U.S. oil prices than Brent, and they expect the spread between the international benchmark and U.S. West Texas Intermediate to expand.
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"In light of supply coming on stream I'd be more bearish than bullish but at the same time there are bids there at $5.50," one trading source said, adding that by early next week prices should come off.
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Combining the seven commodities produces a net short of 373,706 futures and options contracts, which is more bearish than last week's 345,395 contracts but well off the all-time low of 464,23 set back on April 25 (reut.rs/2r19tgv).
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"It's hard to get more bearish after this report after we wiped out more than 30 percent of our value in the last two months," said Gene McGillian, vice president of market research for Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.
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U.S. crude futures LCOc1 continued to drop for second day, losing $1.88 to $71.29 per barrel in midday trade, as global stock markets fell, with investor sentiment made more bearish by a bigger-than-expected U.S. crude inventories build.
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Snap shares saw four times the amount of calls — trades that bet on the stock going higher — as puts, or more bearish bets, with the options market implying a 14% move for the stock by the end of the week.
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" James Camp, Eagle Asset Management's managing director of strategic income, was more bearish: "The issue for the equity market is the bond market telling you that global growth has really rolled over in a material sense, and we think that's likely.
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If the outlook for prices is not exactly bullish, it is no longer becoming more bearish, and that is enough for some funds to start trimming short positions and establishing new longs to capitalise on the resulting bounce in prices.
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One of the more bearish forecasting firms, Capital has taken up its Q3 growth estimate to 2% from 1.5%, though it still, like most of its peers, doesn't think that will derail the Fed from again cutting interest rates in September.
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"The U.S. production factor has taken on a more bearish appearance as the oil rig counts have increased appreciably and weekly EIA (Energy Information Administration) production estimates have shown a surprising uptick," said Jim Ritterbusch of Chicago-based oil markets consultancy Ritterbusch & Associates.
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Soros, who rose to fame and fortune by betting against the sterling in 1992, has become even more bearish among the "Billionaire Bears" club, slashing his share stake in Mondelez International, PayPal, Lions Gate Entertainment as well as his entire stake in Apple.
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - The forward curve for U.S. crude oil futures has steepened in recent days as worries that proposed OPEC supply cuts won't hold, or even materialize, turned the market's outlook for 2017 deliveries more bearish relative to longer-term contracts.
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With economic growth across emerging markets showing fresh signs of flagging - ratings agency Moody's expects growth in G20 emerging markets to ease to 4.2 percent in 2016 compared to 4.4 percent last year - investors are growing more bearish on the outlook for stocks.
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|
When combining the net corn, soybean, soft red, and hard red winter wheat positions, the funds are more bearish than they have ever been ahead of the U.S. Department of Agriculture's March planting report, which will be released on Friday at noon EDT (1600 GMT).
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|
The potential for disruption in the Middle East has come amid a more fundamental souring of market sentiment in recent days, with hedge funds, producers and traders all taking a more bearish tack in response to what they see as weakness in worldwide demand.
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|
" Experts consulted by Axios sounded more bearish than the administration: CFR President Richard Haass: "Since Singapore we have seen a huge gap open up between the claims made by POTUS (that the nuclear problem is essentially solved) and the reality that it is anything but.
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LONDON, May 17 (Reuters) - Investors are more bearish on the euro over the next six and 12 months than at any time since November, the options market shows, its outlook darkened by concerns over politics in Italy and the dollar's huge rally against almost every other currency.
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - The outlook for the U.S. dollar turned even more bearish on Tuesday after healthcare reform legislation again failed to pass in Congress, casting further doubt on whether the Trump administration will be able to progress to tax reform, infrastructure improvements, and banking deregulation.
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NEW YORK, July 3 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury investors turned mildly more bearish in the latest week after last week's bond market gains tied to worries about escalating trade friction between the United States and its major trade partners, a J.P. Morgan survey released on Tuesday showed.
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Funds have more or less held the same outlook on Chicago Board of Trade corn futures and options for three weeks now, as the new stance of 264,213 contracts on the short side is just a slight tick more bearish than the previous week (reut.rs/221pqOYZu).
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"Trade barriers are coming back into play and while maybe the Mexican story is not important to the same extent as the Chinese story, its still adds to further uncertainty that plays into the backdrop of a more and more bearish market," said Trieu Pham, EM Credit Research at ING.
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"If one had a more bearish outlook...I guess you could view on the way back up, that the 50-day could act as resistance, and the inability to push through it would keep your very short-term bearish thesis alive," said Oppenheimer techncial analyst Ari Wald, who is bullish on the market.
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NEW YORK, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Corporate debt defaults and credit spreads will increase globally, with a more bearish outlook for North America than Europe, following a prolonged period of cheap credit and ardent investor demand that has spurred red-hot borrowing, according to an International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers quarterly (IACPM) survey.
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While he was wrong-footed in the first part of last year, when crude's rebound to around $60 a barrel proved temporary, he joined others such as Goldman Sachs in taking a much more bearish view in more recent months, predicting in December that U.S. crude would drop below $30 a barrel in February.
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"Mortgage rates for all loan types fell by a sizable margin for the second straight week, pulled down by trade tensions with China and Mexico, the financial markets reacting to more bearish communication from several Fed officials, and weaker than expected hiring in May," said Joel Kan, MBA's associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting.
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The sell-off, the biggest one-day drop for global benchmark Brent futures since the start of September, takes losses this year to more than 2700 percent, a descent stoked by worsening Chinese economic data, the world's No. 230 oil consumer, and a fierce row between Saudi Arabia and Iran that some say may be more bearish than bullish.
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"We're starting to get to a point now where it seems that the more hostile the U.S.-China trade war becomes, the more bearish it's becoming for the dollar, and of course we didn't quite see that in the early days of the trade war," said Bipan Rai, head of FX strategy at CIBC in Toronto.
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"The list of problems the company is grappling with is vast, including complicity in a genocide, enabling social and political instability in different countries around the world, the unwitting sharing of consumer data and antagonized legislators in the US, the UK, Europe and beyond," Pivotal Research's Brian Wieser, one of the more bearish Facebook analysts, wrote in a January report.
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Adam Cole, global head of FX strategy at RBC, said underwhelming numbers on Thursday could mark the beginning of a more bearish turn in data on how the economy is coping with the uncertainty related to leaving the EU. Thursday's Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 53.4 from 54.2 in October, undershooting expectations for a rise to 54.5 in a Reuters poll of economists.
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