Traders still see less than even odds of a rate hike this year, but are now pricing in close to even odds of a rate hike by early 2017.
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I would have put even odds that neither would have happened.
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Traders now see above even odds of a rate increase in December.
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Traders are betting even odds at best of a single rate hike.
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Before the report, traders saw better than even odds of a December rate increase.
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It meant that as her daughter, I had even odds of having inherited it from her.
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It gives us even odds that our species will meet its end within the next 760 years.
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Warhol had cheated death once, in June 1968, when his surgeon gave even odds on the artist lasting the night.
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Ladbrokes, the betting website, offers even odds that Trump will resign or leave office through impeachment before his term ends.
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But a number of technical analysts have said this week that chart readings suggest even odds of a break up or down.
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"Fed fund futures are showing well below even odds at this point for a move between now and the year-end," he said.
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When I sent in the FINAL DRAFT of this puzzle, I thought it had REAL POTENTIAL, but likely faced EVEN ODDS for acceptance.
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NOAA also says research shows "better than even odds" that warming will increase the frequency in some — but not all — parts of the world.
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The narrative stems from the 2008 financial meltdown, an event that turned Obama's fortune from around even odds to overwhelming favorite over John McCain.
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The week also saw some repricing of U.S. interest rate expectations, with futures now pricing roughly even odds of a rate rise in December.
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Prices for fed funds futures suggest investors see just higher than even odds the Fed will raise rates by the end of the year.
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In other words, if this February is like the last one, you'll have little better than even odds of taking off or landing on time.
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"Right now we would say there are even odds for a second downgrade in 2020," said James Barrineau, head of emerging markets debt relative at Schroders.
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Investors continue to see just better-than-even odds of a hike at the December policy meeting, and almost no chance of an increase in November.
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Despite being four-point home underdogs already down by seven, Kelly chose to punt rather than take better-than-even odds to keep the drive alive.
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The betting markets, he notes, give roughly even odds that key provisions of the Affordable Care Act will be repealed before the end of the year.
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Even if one gives Cleveland only a 10 percent chance to win each game, they would have better than even odds of succeeding at least once.
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"We would say there are even odds for a second downgrade in 2020," said James Barrineau, head of emerging markets debt relative at asset manager Schroders.
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"My guess is that doubling down on a bet with Warren Buffett for the next 10 years would hold greater-than-even odds of victory," Seides wrote.
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Markets are currently pricing in just an 8 percent chance of a June rate hike, and don't see better-than-even odds of a Fed move until December.
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Investors are skeptical about another rate now and give a December rate hike a 27 percent probability, and only even odds of a rate hike by next June.
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That in turn meant traders were now pricing in about even odds for a December rate hike in the United States, with little chance of a rise before then.
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Clinton is effectively ahead in the Electoral College by 3%, which means she'd have to lose that much across the board for Trump to have even odds of winning.
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According to betting intelligence network US-Bookies, Chris Evans' longtime Avenger is given even odds to survive the upcoming battle with Thanos, which is sure to break fan's hearts.
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Investors give about an 18 percent chance of a Fed rate hike next month, and almost even odds of a move in December after the November U.S. presidential election.
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But if you have the chance to make an even odds bet on it, you should count on her to win for the simple reason that incumbents usually win.
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Traders continue to price in a Fed rate hike in September and better than even odds of a December rate hike, little changed from before the release of Powell's testimony.
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If you place even odds on Republicans taking back the White House, then blocking Garland means they'll get, on average, a 5 (50 percent times 2 plus 50 percent times 8).
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Fed funds futures showed investors were pricing in a nearly three in four chance that the Fed would raise interest rates again in December, from around even odds earlier last month.
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Prices for Fed funds futures on Tuesday suggested they expect about a 20 percent chance of a hike next month and just over even odds for such a move in December.
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What seems more likely is that they'd confine the story of his life to a spin-off novel (I'd give better than even odds such a narrative is already in the works).
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Traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate currently see about even odds of a rate hike in June, with some chance of another rate hike by the end of the year.
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Then again, historically — based on so-called fundamentals like the "time for a change" theory of presidential elections — one would expect the Republicans to be even-odds or even slight favorites to win this election.
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Before the report they were pricing in about even odds for a June rate hike, with the odds rising to more than 80 percent by December, and little chance of a second rate hike by then.
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Lawrence Summers, Treasury secretary under Bill Clinton and a top economic adviser in President Obama's first term, says there are better than even odds today that the United States will tip into a recession within three years.
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Trump gave the chances that the United States, Canada and Mexico could reach a deal on updating the 23-year-old pact even odds during an Oval Office meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Wednesday.
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"Interestingly, market expectations for December have climbed higher over the past few days, pricing in nearly even odds of a move in December," strategists and economists, led by chief U.S. economist Michelle Meyer, wrote in a Friday report.
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Trump gave the chances that the United States, Canada and Mexico could reach a deal on updating the 23-year-old NAFTA pact even odds during an Oval Office meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Wednesday.
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Yellen said last month the Fed will likely raise rates once this year but prices on fed funds futures suggest just above even odds the hike will come at the Fed's last policy meeting for the year in December.
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Prices for fed funds futures suggest investors see almost no chance of a hike at the Fed's next policy meeting in early November and roughly even odds of an increase at its mid-December meeting, according to CME Group.
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"Majority parties, in state legislatures at least, seem to actually have an electoral disadvantage — if you become the majority one year, you have less than even odds of being the majority party later on down the line," Hall told me.
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The previously undefeated Midnight Bisou, running at even odds with Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith in the saddle, was closing fast down the stretch but it proved too little, too late as the 8-1 Argentine-bred mare held on to win.
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Contracts tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate continue to price in a little less than a 50 percent chance of an interest rate cut by year's end, and a little more than even odds for a rate cut early next year.
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Federal funds futures implied traders still see roughly even odds of a rate increase at the Fed's December meeting and about a 20 percent chance of such a move in September, a bit lower than before the decision, according to CME's FedWatch Group.
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If it's not — and I am laying even odds that it's not — head to the big-box store or the internet and get all the replacement parts or fixings that you should have gotten last year, the last time I warned you about this.
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Traders continue to give about a 75 percent chance the Fed will raise rates in two months time, and about even odds of another rate hike next June, based on a Reuters analysis of Fed funds futures traded at CME Group Inc's Chicago Board of Trade.
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I spent some time with him in North Carolina last May, before this unholy mess, and kept in touch through occasional phone calls as the election drew closer and professional handicappers gave him even odds or better to wrest a House seat that Republicans had held for 55 years.
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At Morehouse College in Atlanta, Obama answered Trump's jab from earlier in the week, when the Republican President said Abrams -- owner of an estimable political résumé -- was "not qualified" for the job that she and Georgia's GOP Secretary of State Brian Kemp are at about even odds to win next week.
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The best message that the country can send with the popular vote is that if you try to win the presidency by stoking race hatred and promising to degrade the Constitution, you will lose and lose badly—that a fascist does not have an even-odds chance of becoming the most powerful person in the world.
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U.S. short-term interest-rate futures held on to earlier slight losses after the data, as contracts tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate continue to price in a little less than a 210 percent chance of an interest rate cut by year's end, and a little more than even odds for a cut early next year.
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U.S. short-term interest-rate futures held on to earlier slight losses after the data, as contracts tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate continue to price in a little less than a 210 percent chance of an interest rate cut by year's end, and a little more than even odds for a rate cut early next year.
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U.S. short-term interest-rate futures held on to earlier slight losses after the data, as contracts tied to the Federal Reserve's policy rate continue to price in a little less than a 50 percent chance of an interest rate cut by year's end, and a little more than even odds for a cut early next year.
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It's not always beneficial to all fans — more on that in a bit — but it's how America goes to games now: Estimates of the percentage of seats bought on the secondary market run as high as 25 percent to 50 percent, meaning for some events it's even odds whether the person sitting in the seat was actually the original one to buy it from the box office.
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NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Federal funds futures implied late on Tuesday that traders see about a 51% chance that the U.S. Federal Reserve will lower key borrowing costs by 25 basis points after the policy-setting committee meets on Wednesday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool here The near-even odds for a cut or no move compare to futures pricing a 92% chance of a 25 bps cut just a week ago.
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In roulette, the en prison rule is an opportunity to recover one's stakes after a spin of zero, provided one's bet was even-odds (i.e. high–low, even–odd, red–black). It is a variant of the la partage rule, in which a player loses only half their even-odds stake if the original spin is a zero, recouping the other half (partage being French for "sharing"). In European casinos, where la partage is customary, the player may be given the option instead to place their original stake en prison ("in prison" in French).
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Fractional odds of 4/1 would be quoted as +400 while fractional odds of 1/4 cannot be quoted as a positive figure. ;Negative figures :If the figure quoted is negative, the moneyline odds are quoting how much money must be wagered to win $100 (this is done if the odds are worse than even). Fractional odds of 1/4 would be quoted as −400 while fractional odds of 4/1 cannot be quoted as a negative figure. ;Even odds :Even odds are quoted as +100 or −100.
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Even money is a wagering proposition with even odds - the bettor stands to lose or win the same amount of money. Beyond gambling, even money can mean an event whose occurrence is about as likely to occur as not. Even money is also known as 50–50. In professional gambling, even money bets typically do not have odds that are indeed 50–50.
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Less than two months later on November 11, 1898, he decisively lost the title to Black Canadian boxer George Dixon in a tenth round disqualification at New York City's Lenox Club. Dan Donnelly was in his corner. Sullivan had held the title only forty-six days. At the time of the fight the betting favored Dixon, but was close, and briefly went to even odds.
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Some sources say Boston were heavy underdogs. Boston bookies actually gave even odds to the teams (and only because Dreyfuss and other "sports" were alleged to have bet on Pittsburgh to bring down the odds). The teams were generally thought to be evenly matched, with the Americans credited with stronger pitching and the Pirates with superior offense and fielding. The outcome, many believed, hinged on Wagner's health.
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His next project was the theme and original music score for the pilot and the series of Prince Street. Hammer started off 1999 by writing, performing and producing a tune, "Even Odds" for Jeff Beck's latest album Who Else! (Epic). Also, 1999 saw the release of The Lost Trident Sessions, the third (and last) studio album from his former group, the Mahavishnu Orchestra. The album was recorded in 1973 just prior to the band's breakup.
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One final category was presented, with three question choices. The contestants were given 15 seconds to choose a question and place a wager on it, and each of the three questions had different payoff odds attached. The easiest question paid off at 1:1, or “even”, odds. The next most difficult question paid off at 2:1, or “double”. The most difficult of the three paid off at 3:1, or “triple”.
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It has a payout percentage of 98.65%, which means the house edge is 1.35%, but this is only the case when the player is betting on a two-sided outside bet. Most Casinos in the United States do not use la partage or en prison rules; an even-odds stake loses if zero is rolled. Those that do include these Las Vegas Casinos: The Bellagio, MGM Grand, The Mirage, The Rio and The Wynn.
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Favoured in continental Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and Singapore, decimal odds quote the ratio of the payout amount, including the original stake, to the stake itself. Therefore, the decimal odds of an outcome are equivalent to the decimal value of the fractional odds plus one. Thus even odds 1/1 are quoted in decimal odds as 2.00. The 4/1 fractional odds discussed above are quoted as 5.00, while the 1/4 odds are quoted as 1.25.
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A study on soccer betting found that the probability for the home team to win was generally about 3.4% less than the value calculated from the odds (for example, 46.6% for even odds). It was about 3.7% less for wins by the visitors, and 5.7% less for draws. Making a profit in gambling involves predicting the relationship of the true probabilities to the payout odds. Sports information services are often used by professional and semi- professional sports bettors to help achieve this goal.
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After two minutes, a member from the other team would enter to even the odds. Entrants alternated between teams every two minutes, giving the coin toss-winning team the temporary advantage in the numbers game before giving the other team the advantage with the freshest man and even odds. When all competitors have entered the ring, a roof is lowered onto the top of the cage, with various weapons hanging from it. Victory can be attained by pinfall or submission.
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He would be replaced by Petr Čech. Captain Steven Gerrard and striker Fernando Morientes were expected to return to the starting line-up for Liverpool, while midfielder Xabi Alonso would miss out after breaking his leg in the last fixture between the two sides. Going into the match Chelsea were the favourites with the bookmakers at Even odds to win the match, while Liverpool were 9-4. However, a poll on the BBC Sport website had 63% of fans backing Liverpool to win.
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Joy received her first major press in the June–July 2003 issue of Nylon magazine in a feature article - 'Even Odds' written by Johanna Lenander - on her Karen O wardrobe. In August 2003 Joy, in a Time profile, scoffed at her It girl status. In July 2004 Joy and her designs were a key element of a The New York Times Sunday magazine feature about the growing influence of Indie Rock on fashion. In June 2005 Joy was again featured in Nylon in an article entitled 'Quiet Riot'.
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Assuming q > 1/2 (it is a real casino) and he may only place bets at even odds, his best strategy is bold play: at each spin, he should bet the smallest amount such that if he wins he reaches his target immediately, and if he doesn't have enough for this, he should simply bet everything. Eventually he either goes bust or reaches his target. This strategy gives him a probability of 97.8744% of achieving the goal of winning one unit vs. a 2.1256% chance of losing all 63 units, and that is the best probability possible in this circumstance.
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Three-quarters of patients survive five or more years; more than half of patients with SMZL survive more than a decade after diagnosis. Patients who have a hemoglobin level of less than 12 g/dL, a lactate dehydrogenase level higher than normal, and/or a blood serum albumin levels of less than 3.5 g/dL are likely to have more an aggressive disease course and a shorter survival. However, even high-risk patients have even odds of living for five years after diagnosis. Some genetic mutations, such as mutations in NOTCH2, are also correlated with shorter survival.
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The 1886 Series between the St. Louis Browns and the "Chicagos" was billed as a "World's Championship" with a winner-take-all prize of the total gate receipts. The 1886 World Series was won by the St. Louis Browns (later the Cardinals) of the American Association over the Chicago White Stockings (later the Cubs) of the National League, four games to two. The series was played on six consecutive days running from October 18 to October 23 in Chicago and St. Louis. The teams were judged to be approximately equal going into the series, with gamblers betting on the teams at even odds.
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Colin Cowdrey, who had made 110 and 103 in the New South Wales match, and Les Favell, who had opened with 84 and 47 for South Australia against the tourists, also made their debuts. Reg Simpson opened with Hutton after his century against Queensland and the out of form Edrich had to come in at number three. There were worries about Ray Lindwall's gastric problems and Alec Bedser's undiagnosed rash, but in the end both were deemed fit to play. Remembering Bedser's hold over the Australian batsmen and that England still held the Ashes, the Australian bookies gave the two sides even odds.
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The coin toss at the start of Super Bowl XLIII Coin tossing is a simple and unbiased way of settling a dispute or deciding between two or more arbitrary options. In a game theoretic analysis it provides even odds to both sides involved, requiring little effort and preventing the dispute from escalating into a struggle. It is used widely in sports and other games to decide arbitrary factors such as which side of the field a team will play from, or which side will attack or defend initially; these decisions may tend to favor one side, or may be neutral. Factors such as wind direction, the position of the sun, and other conditions may affect the decision.
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Thomas R. Cartwright, Franklin: The Valley of Death Determined to stop Schofield from uniting with Thomas' main force at Nashville, Hood resolved to attack him head-on at Franklin, even though the Federals were now behind formidable fortifications (built for a previous battle fought there the year before). These included breastworks six-to-eight feet high fronted by four-foot wide ditches, and thorny obstructions using branches from Osage Orange trees in the area. Although Hood had roughly 39,000 men, only 27,000 would make the attack; this placed them at even odds with the Federals, who had the same number of men.Eicher, David J. The Longest Night: A Military History of the Civil War.
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This is a common form of Texas hold 'em in tournament play where the size of the bets are limited by the chips in play or cash games where the bet is limited by the size of the 'buy in' or chips one has accumulated prior to the current hand. No-limit can be a somewhat deceptive term, however, as one may not bring more money to the table once a hand has started or place a bet for more than the total amount that one has in play when the hands starts. There is a widely held belief that casinos instituted maximum table limits to limit Martingale betting strategies. The simplest of these strategies involves a player doubling his or her bet every time a loss is incurred on a bet with even odds, until he or she wins.
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Favoured in Continental Europe, Australia, New Zealand and Canada, decimal odds differ from fractional odds by taking into account that the bettor must first part with their stake to make a bet; the figure quoted, therefore, is the winning amount that would be paid out to the bettor. Therefore, the decimal odds of an outcome are equivalent to one plus the decimal value of the fractional odds; in the absence of built-in house advantage to cover overhead, profit margins, or (for an illegal enterprise) compensation for the fact that both chances of prosecution and penalties in the event of conviction tend to be higher for bookmakers than for clients, the decimal odds associated with a given outcome would be the decimal expression of the reciprocal of what the offering party assesses to be the outcome's chance of occurring. Thus, even odds 1/1 are quoted in decimal odds as 2. The 4/1 fractional odds discussed above are quoted as 5, while the 1/4 odds are quoted as 1.25.
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