There are also a gajillion ways to make a model overconfident, whereas it's pretty hard to make one overconfident.
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On the question of allowing parents to vaccinate their own kids, for example, support was 16 percent among the least overconfident, and 30 percent for the most overconfident.
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We're all overconfident in our ignorance from time to time.
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Some people just get so overconfident, he says, especially men.
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Overconfident claims have dogged AI research from its earliest days.
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She's a little overconfident in her assumptions, and alienates everyone.
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British actors are way too overconfident with their American accents.
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But it would be foolish to be overconfident early on.
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When I'm in drag it's just an overconfident me, really.
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But would it be remembered instead as premature and overconfident?
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Chinese officials are overconfident about their ability to prevent a conventional war from turning nuclear, they argue, while American ones are overconfident about their subsequent ability to keep a nuclear war limited in scope.
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"I was supremely overconfident going into this thing," Khosrowshahi joked onstage.
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Do not become overconfident, lest you fall at the first hurdle.
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It's alright to be a little overconfident from time to time.
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Young CEOs who have never experienced a downturn can be overconfident.
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I worry that the U.S. and North Korea are both overconfident.
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This time, the Sun Devils know better than to get overconfident.
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He doesn't know his audience… He came in overconfident and underprepared.
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Many teens are "overconfident" and "have wildly unrealistic expectations," said Fox News.
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They are all confident — but sometimes they have hubris and are overconfident.
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The managers are confident, some say overconfident, in their abilities to succeed.
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"Most successful people are, to a degree, a little overconfident," Valiante said.
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So when are people likely to be overconfident in how they rank?
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I was, like so many of us, wildly overconfident about her chances.
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China's Communist Party has grown overconfident in its ability to micro-manage.
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Because of overconfident or unscrupulous creators, journalists have been burned too many times.
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Without tests, she added, students could easily be overconfident and not work hard.
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Overconfident investors get extended in a handful of trades and need to retrench.
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"They tend to be overconfident," said Dr. Assenova, an assistant professor of management.
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"We are cautioning everyone not to be overconfident," City Administrator Adam Emrick said.
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Still, it's all a bit embarrassing for everyone who made those overconfident forecasts.
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Yet with all of these advantages, Democrats should be extremely careful about becoming overconfident.
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As the survey shows, women can be overconfident to the point of absurdity too.
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All are overconfident interpreters of a reality that Sonja "was never able to explain".
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"If you start to feel too overconfident... that's when something can happen," explains Cmdr.
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"A lot of people are overconfident that they can handle distractions," Mr. Schacter said.
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"We may also need to punish overconfident behavior more than we do," she said.
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Chester is a frustrating main character, by turns arrogant and clueless, overconfident and indecisive.
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Even a low-level enemy can defeat an overconfident player who isn't paying attention.
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Garner believes that "the bears in the Treasury complex have gotten overconfident," said Cramer.
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So we did have to pull her back from actually being overconfident once or twice.
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Solis said it was important to not become overconfident before the actual negotiations kick off.
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At the same time it's important not to seem overconfident or delusional about your abilities.
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Research suggests students may be overconfident about what they are understanding when they read digitally.
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They refuse to believe pessimistic predictions but they also don't allow themselves to become overconfident.
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These blind spots exist because smart people tend to be overconfident in their reasoning abilities.
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Leading Democrats, he added, are overconfident that anti-Trumpism is a sure path to victory.
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Other studies have also shown that people who are overconfident are perceived as more competent.
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The more experienced people are at a task, the more people tend to be overconfident.
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I was overconfident in the procedures the FBI and Justice had built over 20 years.
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He scoffed at a question about whether his team had to guard against being overconfident.
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Other studies suggest that ambiverts make good leaders because they're assertive without being overbearing or overconfident.
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Not only are our interpretations of the world often arbitrary, but we're often overconfident in them.
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Errant outlooks could leave coal and natural gas exporters overconfident in the demand for their products.
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Mr. Trump's background evidently appealed to voters, but he should be careful not to be overconfident.
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Avoid being overconfident just because you're adorned head to toe in a sticks-and-twigs print.
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The king becomes a bit overconfident, deciding to test his power against a charismatic stranger's worshipers.
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Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Donald Trump's approach to foreign policy is inconsistent and overconfident.
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An overconfident Marlins employee tried to pet the cat, who declined the overture and scurried away.
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They are not perplexed by difficult situations but overconfident — not knowing what they don&apost know.
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Right now, the Trump campaign could hardly ask for a bigger favor from its overconfident opponents.
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DeLuca is a little overconfident in this scene, and he shouldn't write off Meredith's feelings for Link.
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You think you won't ever miss — you go in there just cool and relaxed, because you're overconfident.
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Rebekah Brockman's Antigone is palpably enraged and defiant, while Paul O'Brien embodies a stubborn and overconfident Creon.
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"Think of sperm as a really overconfident guy going on a date with a girl," says Vaughn.
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Researchers say that young women are probably more competent than they think, while male peers are overconfident.
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Ewbank was aghast at Namath's brazenness, fearing it would ignite a fire under the perhaps overconfident Colts.
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Traders tend to be overconfident and discount what they don't know about the market and individual securities.
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People were slightly more overconfident in how they ranked their intelligence (somewhat subjective) than their performance on an IQ test (seemingly more objective.) Next, the researchers found that people tend to be overconfident on tasks that are perceived as easy and underconfident on tasks that are perceived as hard.
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People are often overconfident about how much they know, and men are on average more confident than women.
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But this week, a series of new public polls have suggested the Clinton campaign may have gotten overconfident.
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It's not unusual for companies to get overconfident and become saddled with heavy debts late in an expansion.
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I'm afraid they're going to remember, and learn to spin-kick my overconfident ass into the next millennium.
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After Denver, though, comes the apparently overconfident Bostonians, who started planning trips out West perhaps a tad too soon.
|
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But a group of Canadian researchers think they can outwit those overconfident oversharers with the help of artificial intelligence.
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Q: Do you worry that investors are overconfident after the long run-up in stocks in the United States?
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Yet we've also seen some very high-profile examples lately of how overconfident leadership can be ruinous for companies.
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As McGann explains in the new paper, the myth began — as myths often do — with an overconfident male scientist.
|
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The Blumberg 28503 State of Cybersecurity poll seems to indicate people might be overconfident about their own security knowledge.
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If you haven't carefully tested how errors are correlated between states, for example, your model will be way overconfident.
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Also, Remain supporters, especially young voters, may have become overconfident and felt less compelled to go to the polls.
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"Either the Northam campaign is legitimately confident because of their private polls or they overconfident and lethargic," said Sabato.
|
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Martin Schmidt: I don't mean to sound like an overconfident twat, but I knew it was a great idea.
|
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But huge Democratic wins in 2006 and 2008 led a perhaps overconfident Barack Obama to neglect these nascent efforts.
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"I think [the British] are overconfident in their ability to mitigate [the risk]," Uren, the ASPI expert, told me.
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" "I was overconfident in the procedures that the FBI and (Department of) Justice have built over 20 year years.
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"We're entering the home-stretch, but it's important for Hillary not to be overconfident," warned former New Mexico Gov.
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Worse, our world rewards overconfidence, especially in men: one study found that groups tended to choose overconfident narcissists as leaders.
|
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Many were moved by the episode, but several observers also warned Trump not to be overconfident about the raid's success.
|
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"The Brits are either completely overconfident or completely overwhelmed." additional reporting by Alastair Macdonald in Brussels; editing by David Stamp
|
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After discussing similar research, Greenaway challenged workplaces to reward women for being realistic, rather than praising men for being overconfident.
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Nyle Gets Overconfident Nyle DiMarco got a little cocky ahead of his performance, which honored Jim Carrey in The Mask.
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She was overconfident, ignored the haters, and ultimately made it all about her — and it worked brilliantly for ten years.
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Their experience actually hurts some skiers, the author argued, by making them overconfident and willing to disregard ordinary safety precautions.
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The forty-year-old actor, who grew up in Virginia, is known for his gallery of overconfident Southern men-children.
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But the report cautions that it's way too early to predict success, so we should be wary any overconfident claims.
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In that light, it seems the Trump team was playing it smart while the Clinton team was perhaps becoming overconfident.
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And perhaps only Malick could at this historical moment make a film so overconfident in its visual and moral convictions.
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Another study published in Plos One found that when people are overconfident, others overrate them as smarter and more skilled.
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I was masking my IP address but then I got overconfident and I had unmasked it for a few things.
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Still, as his "world's best striker" quote proves, he became overconfident, arrogant even, in lieu of someone to temper his ego.
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And she points out that claims that the course history took was the best possible outcome for civil rights seem overconfident.
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"People can be a little overconfident," said Frank Giannasca, senior meteorologist for The Weather Channel, who warned people to drive carefully.
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Men, by contrast, tend to be overconfident about their ability to invest, so they're less vulnerable to the self-efficacy trap.
|
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Every time an overconfident internet scumbag gets caught like this, the others think a little harder before pulling the same stunts.
|
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His acknowledgment in the book that he "can be stubborn, prideful, overconfident, and driven by ego" won't help his reputation either.
|
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If an employee is self-centered, overconfident, or constantly talks about following the rules, you may have toxicity on your hands.
|
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The researchers posit that young women are more competent than they believe, while their male peers are overconfident in their abilities.
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"I think they should feel pretty good, without sounding overconfident, about where they are overall," Manley said of the Clinton campaign.
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Most Game of Thrones viewers might give Littlefinger decent odds of survival, but I think he's dangerously overconfident at this point.
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"We shouldn't be overconfident, but I fancy our chances," said Miftah Ismail, a businessman who is a special assistant to Sharif.
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He sounds overconfident which makes him sound arrogant, but we need to show North Korea that we will not play games.
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Some of mine, as you'll discover in this book, are that I can be stubborn, prideful, overconfident and driven by ego.
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Studies show that when that part of the brain is less active, people tend to be overconfident in their reasoning abilities.
|
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Oddly enough for an institution that people think of as overconfident sometimes, we're not that good at tooting our own horn.
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There have been, and always will be, fraudsters looking to make money at the expense of naïve, overconfident, or overly trustworthy people.
|
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"Brady looks like the overconfident European assassin who dies in the last twenty minutes of an action movie," one Twitter user said.
|
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Overconfident CEOs tend to be paid more than their peers, and as their compensation packages grow, so do their levels of overconfidence.
|
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You can throw a stone in any direction and hit someone who is overconfident and thinks they're smarter than they really are.
|
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Overweight and overconfident, 30-something Nettie decides to openly embrace her abundance and "comes out" to the world as a fat person.
|
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Don't be overconfident, he says: If French voters abstain and Le Pen's supporters are motivated, her candidacy could turn into a presidency.
|
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One campaign source says it looked too overconfident, but Trump clearly thinks they either had a premonition or hard data showing defeat.
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It makes the game feel unconfident, which is not something I've ever associated with this, the most overconfident game franchise in history.
|
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As the authors note, we humans are often overconfident about our abilities, with the exception of things outside of our comfort zones.
|
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Across the 100 skills tested, men are a bit more overconfident overall in how they compared themselves with members of their gender.
|
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Most viewers of the show might rank Littlefinger rather high on this list, but I think he's dangerously overconfident at this point.
|
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An overconfident cardiologist misdiagnosed her with Bell's palsy and treated her with the steroid prednisone, sending her blood pressure through the roof.
|
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Romero scored a good counter left hook on an overconfident Whittaker near the end of the fourth that briefly shook the champion's feet.
|
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"It looks like what the overconfident CEOs with weaker governance do is make more acquisitions, wasteful spending and things like that," Cooper says.
|
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She turns down a marriage proposal from an overconfident douchebag in the form of Euron Greyjoy (Pilou Asbæk), and I'm grateful for it.
|
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Women, by contrast, tend to be less overconfident in their expertise and thus less willing to make sharp and sweeping arguments in public.
|
|
If overconfident, underprepared men are being promoted into leadership roles, what does that mean for the more qualified women doing the actual work?
|
|
Indeed, being overconfident of large sample sizes is one of the most common statistical blunders we see as a big data training company.
|
|
" In the Times newsroom, Abramson writes in Merchants of Truth, "I was seen as playing favorites and as being overconfident of my opinions.
|
|
Across the 100 skills tested, men are a bit more overconfident over all in how they compared themselves with members of their gender.
|
|
Maybe Donald Trump isn't just some two-bit con artist who lucked his way into the White House thanks to an overconfident opponent.
|
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Cognitive decline can start as early as age 53, leading people to become more impulsive, overconfident and subject to poor judgment, said McClanahan.
|
|
Risk management is a more mature way to view the encryption debate than the overconfident approach the DOJ has taken in the past.
|
|
The complication doesn't show information, for example, and it won't be overconfident in guessing the dates for your predicted periods and fertility windows.
|
|
While the athlete seemed cool and collected in his ensemble, Twitter couldn't help but voice their opinions (and fantasies) about his wardrobe, suggesting he could be an "overconfident european assassin who dies in the last twenty minutes of an action movie." brady looks like the overconfident european assassin who dies in the last twenty minutes of an action movie pic.twitter.
|
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Grandiose narcissists look more like what we typically think of when we hear the label—they tend to be obnoxiously bold, overconfident, and arrogant.
|
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But he says a likely explanation is that big paychecks can make CEOs overconfident, particularly when they have little oversight from outside board directors.
|
|
Du Bois let the overconfident and bombastic Stoddard walk into a comic moment, which Stoddard then made even funnier by not getting the joke.
|
|
"We've definitely seen a disconnect, with some graduates being maybe a touch overconfident," said Andrew Challenger, vice president at outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
|
|
Despite the win and the long home winning streak over the Flames, the Ducks did not sound like an overconfident team after the game.
|
|
The main reason, they argued, was that men were much more likely to be overconfident than women, and hence to carry out unprofitable trades.
|
|
But as it turns out, the humans entered into the arena overconfident and unprepared: the Dota 2 program won 99.4 percent of its games.
|
|
Eighth-ranked Xavier won't be overconfident when they attempt to knock off visiting Northern Iowa for the second time in six days Saturday afternoon.
|
|
"I was 100 percent sure I would never hear from her and that what I had done was something silly and overconfident," he said.
|
|
This is not a reason to become overconfident, but it is good cause for realistically evaluating the costs of undue caution on the issue.
|
|
The American and Chinese leaders are both impetuous, authoritarian and overconfident nationalists, and each appears to underestimate the other side's capacity to inflict pain.
|
|
But some market watchers are warning investors not to get overconfident in their political prognostications, especially with the election still nearly nine months away.
|
|
Or consider Enron's overconfident executives, who were often hailed for their intellectual brilliance — they ran the company into the ground with risky, suspect financial decisions.
|
|
An irony of the Dunning-Kruger effect is that so many people misinterpret it, are overconfident in their understanding of it, and get it wrong.
|
|
Overconfident, especially with the task ahead (hey, Cleveland is still a very good baseball team), but knowing the talent is there to get it done.
|
|
China's nationalistic Global Times tabloid struck a reserved tone in an editorial published late on Sunday, saying China had become "overconfident" about its technological advancements.
|
|
In Mantel's view, Boleyn is clever, lusty, maternal, stylish, prone to moments of temper and highhandedness and — fatally — overconfident in the stability of her position.
|
|
That may well happen, but it would be a mistake to be overconfident and assume that the economy will automatically weather a major policy blunder.
|
|
However, that number alone may make one overconfident about a Clinton victory, since the acceptable margin of error for her prediction is only 1 percent.
|
|
Corrine — our villain, whose main crimes are being overconfident, making fart noises with her mouth, and napping — was the main and only event of the episode.
|
|
And that calls to mind some of the words you used to describe yourself in the book, in the author's note: overconfident, stubborn, driven by ego.
|
|
But that shouldn't obscure the reality that Trump's victory was an electoral fluke against an overconfident opponent who didn't have the many advantages of presidential incumbency.
|
|
Now, though, in the imminent British election called by an overconfident Theresa May, a different sort of Trumpian figure is closer to victory than anyone expected.
|
|
It is also possible that while a black man for president was a dream come true, a Jamaican/Indian woman taking the same shot appeared overconfident.
|
|
"There's something overconfident to say ... this story, or these characters, these actresses, these jokes all deserve to be blown up on a big screen," she said.
|
|
That Mercedes has tweaked its car to make it seem less capable is a clever and calculated move to keep drivers from becoming overconfident in its abilities.
|
|
" If that's where your head's at, bringing a toothbrush on a first date can feel overconfident — and, of course, contemporary dating culture is obsessed with acting "chill.
|
|
But it was precisely by making such overconfident pronouncements, Mr Drezner argued recently in the Washington Post, that the authors sowed the seeds of their own demise.
|
|
I saw what she was holding—some of the biggest albums of the 80s—and the overconfident look in her eyes told me this wouldn't go well.
|
|
In fact, he was too sanguine, perhaps because he was overconfident in his own transformative power, perhaps because he wasn't alert to the brittleness of his achievement.
|
|
Davies told Business Insider that Page lost because he got overconfident in the fight, but said that Lima told him he had never fought anybody so fast.
|
|
"We got a little overconfident," said Margret McBride, a literary agent who invested in "Jersey Boys" with her husband, Nevins, and then in a play that flopped.
|
|
After that, I grew overconfident and tried to do basic stuff like steer and wave at pedestrians, maneuvers that sent me careening into bushes and onto the sidewalk.
|
|
Though when your answer to getting taken down is to get up and arm roll straight to side control, it's easy to see how you could get overconfident.
|
|
And since many people feel pressure to conform to gender norms, this may help us understand why men and women tend to be particularly overconfident on different tasks.
|
|
In February, Musk said the main bottleneck was still its battery module production, saying Tesla had become "a little overconfident, a little complacent" in its ability to execute.
|
|
For the layman, it serves as a devastating reminder of the uncertainty in polling, and a warning about being overconfident even when the weight of surveying evidence seems overwhelming.
|
|
At its most basic level, this contest was one between an overconfident career politician and a strong new challenger with clear policy goals that were easy to get behind.
|
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He spends almost an entire chapter mocking the true-blue city of Boston, with its "lab-coat and starched-shirt" economy and its "well-graduated" population of overconfident collegians.
|
|
It could have been a satire of American provincialism and culture clash in a tech-dependent world, with Alan portrayed as a bumbling, overconfident fool living in the past.
|
|
The stumbling, overconfident lasciviousness of someone who has had a few too many is a tricky sentiment to express in a flat face that doesn't even have a nose.
|
|
"This is a situation where people are really excited to be in a special place and are overconfident they can handle the beat of the water," Hall told CNN.
|
|
But the simple answer is that the ACA's exchanges were designed poorly and implemented poorly, by overconfident advocates who dismissed any and all criticism, no matter how well-reasoned.
|
|
He's also been at his worst when he's gotten overconfident — rambling at town halls, phoning it in at debates, chastising reporters who noted that other candidates drew bigger crowds.
|
|
I steer clear of books that offer big, overconfident diagnoses of an entire country or continent, written by the kind of "public intellectuals" who congregate in Davos every year.
|
|
For one, humans are overconfident in their driving ability, and although our reflexes are not as quick as a computer's, we still have the desire to be in control.
|
|
"I don't wanna sound overconfident, but I would be very surprised if any of the car companies exceeded Tesla in self-driving, in getting to full self-driving," he said.
|
|
The bottom line: The "Twilight Zone" state of affairs may actually be good news for stocks because it means investors aren't overconfident, say analysts at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch.
|
|
The kids are also overconfident about phishing, where 71 percent of Gen Z respondents say they wouldn't fall for a phishing scam, yet, only 44 percent knew what "phishing" means.
|
|
Idealistic and perhaps overconfident, Mr. Obama arrived in the White House certain that he could be the president who would finally resolve the decades-old dispute between Israelis and Palestinians.
|
|
It doesn't seem to be the case with other younger users, with a survey commissioned by Google suggesting young people are overconfident when it comes to keeping their online accounts safe.
|
|
And while overconfidence didn't correlate with beliefs about how experts should shape health policy, the more overconfident respondents were more likely to support a role for non-experts in deciding policy.
|
|
Among other things, Scott had said Russell was not as mature as Chris Paul and Kyrie Irving when they were rookies, hinted that Russell was overconfident, and questioned his practice habits.
|
|
There are perhaps some other, more subtle developments that with the benefit of hindsight reflected an overconfident Wall Street willing to change the rules of the game in the late-'290s.
|
|
Neoconservative chickenhawking was a taut, narrative-driven, overconfident belligerence aimed at creating a U.S.-led world order; Trumpian chickenshittery is incoherent, cowardly belligerence, calculated, if at all, to glorify the Don.
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I think this is a moment of reckoning for the Islamic Republic, and anyone who tells you they know where it's going is probably overconfident about their own powers of prediction.
|
|
Job interviewing is about persuading a company you&aposre the perfect person for the job, but you have to make sure you don&apost appear overconfident or delusional about your abilities.
|
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But with so much at stake, it would be a mistake of epic proportions if behind Trump's overconfident exterior, he and his team were not diligently preparing for this important test.
|
|
But in Westeros, whenever we get overconfident, our legs can be swept out from underneath us, leaving us in the hands of a villain who can squash us like a bug.
|
|
You should be extremely worried that your inexperienced and overconfident joke of a president is isolating your country from old allies and rolling out the red carpet for hostile foreign influence.
|
|
Former FBI director James Comey admitted on Sunday that he was "overconfident" in the process used by the bureau to obtain a court-ordered wiretap of a former Trump campaign aide.
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"Democrats are particularly prone to toggling between overconfident jubilance and terrified paralysis," said Ben Wikler, who was elected Wisconsin Democratic Party chair in June after years with the progressive organizing group MoveOn.
|
|
Systemic change is slow, and some women told me that they aren't sure how much to expect from a male-dominated system that is insular and often overconfident in its own rectitude.
|
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"She does have a tendency to come across smug and overconfident," radio host Rich Zeoli said while discussing the upcoming third presidential debate on 1210 WPHT Philadelphia, as first reported by CNN.
|
|
The Fed findings may not indicate a generation that has transitioned from risk-averse to overconfident, but it is cause for concern about the overall state of younger Americans' finances, the experts said.
|
|
In June, an incredibly overconfident Holmes was briefly reported as interested in starting another company, despite the SEC settlement preventing her from serving as an officer of a public firm for a decade.
|
|
There's actually research to back this up: One study from 2012 found that people who were arrogant or overconfident about their own abilities were perceived as "deserving respect and admiration" from their peers.
|
|
Dalio says he was convinced the global economy was going to go into a depression and was too arrogant and overconfident to do the appropriate historical research, so he traded his stocks accordingly.
|
|
" Apple's Jimmy Iovine "remains obsessed with harmonizing the respective dialects of the entertainment industry, which he claims is insecure; and the tech sector, which he calls 'slightly overconfident,' Variety reported earlier this year.
|
|
SATURDAY PUZZLE — O.K., I might have gotten a bit overconfident yesterday with the whole puzzle-solving thing, where I went on and on about how late-week puzzles were "gettable" and all that.
|
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After the Terrapins narrowly escaped against South Dakota State in the first round, they acknowledged that at points this season, they had been guilty of being overconfident and not taking some opponents seriously.
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But the town is so sleepy that I get overconfident, and as I'm sauntering over to an interesting-looking stone wall I realize, too late, that there's a girl on the other side.
|
|
As the Dunning-Kruger effect suggests, he doesn't know how much he doesn't know, and that, combined with his natural tendency toward narcissism, has left him dangerously overconfident in his own knowledge base.
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I'm probably overconfident about my singing ability, but, like most my age, I lack confidence in something so unknown as my future, and how my decisions may determine it, for better or worse.
|
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"I think it's also important for Hillary Clinton to be presidential, to hang in there even if it does get personal, but not to be smug or self-confident or overconfident," Rendell said.
|
|
Overconfident in the polls that showed Hillary Clinton ahead, I assumed, without much thought otherwise, that I'd resume the review when the distraction of the election had passed and life resumed as normal.
|
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When people are overconfident, unaware of their limitations, and when they display grandiose and megalomaniac aspirations, they often come across as competitive, tough and leader-like, even in the absence of actual leadership talents.
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People tend to be overconfident in their skill at making scrambled eggs, which most people have done multiple times, and underconfident in their ability to paint a portrait, which most people have rarely tried.
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Whether it's being overconfident about the stock's prospects or refusing to accept a loss, a lack of objectivity can leave your portfolio vulnerable to market shocks and can affect your long-term financial stability.
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"But while we celebrate our accomplishment, we also need to be clear (but not overconfident) about what we're up against in this election," Robby Mook, Clinton's campaign manager, wrote in an email to supporters Friday.
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Baghdadi, 6900, perhaps was overconfident that he could never be caught, so the creator of the Islamic State (ISIS) terrorist group failed to have an escape plan: He trapped himself inside a dead-end tunnel.
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He believes the market is too overconfident in the state of the U.S. economy, and that the dollar/yen play would be impacted by a number significantly below economists' expectations, which stand at about 185,000.
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"Anyone who tells you they know where it's going is probably overconfident about their own powers of prediction," Suzanne Maloney, deputy director of foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, told me by phone on Friday.
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This last has been a particular concern given that an overconfident decision to intervene in Ukraine's southeastern Donbas region has left Russia stuck in an undeclared war there with little immediate prospect of withdrawal with honor.
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And it so happens that this version of Batman himself — a wildly overconfident, narcissistic billionaire insisting that he's the best and that no one's actions or ideas could possibly match his own — feels strangely relevant, ahem.
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He was almost always the top player on the floor, but by the time Ferrell was in seventh grade, his father had seen his son became complacent and overconfident, and so had him quit AAU ball.
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The downside of Obama's success was that it made the left overconfident about the political future of the country: Progressivism's ascent was unstoppable, it seemed, and the Democratic Party had a lock on the White House.
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"Now I'm reading some of the old stories and realized how naive or how overconfident I was about the things I thought I knew," Ali said on the latest episode of Recode Media with Peter Kafka.
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Playing a character who is also named Jordan Klepper, he adopted the voice of an overconfident idiot to riff on the recent news of Donald Trump Jr.'s testimony before investigators for the Senate Judiciary Committee.
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Under pressure from his handlers in Israel, and overconfident in his own cover story, he started broadcasting messages in Morse code on a near-daily basis using a telegraphic device he kept hidden at his home.
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Mueller may still have revelations that could swing the story back to where it began; the Trump supporters who confidently call collusion a "conspiracy theory" seem as overconfident as Russia obsessives cheering every "boom" on Twitter.
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"I don't want to sound overconfident, but we have a lot of experience dealing with very close elections and a lot of scrutiny about those elections," said Reid Magney, a spokesman for the Wisconsin Elections Commission.
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When Meituan reportedly set a target valuation of $55 billion for its debut, it triggered concerns that the company, which bills itself a "one-stop super app" for everything from food delivery to ticket bookings, as overconfident.
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Now we have Nicki Minaj SpongeBob, Overconfident Cook SpongeBob, a SpongeBob who listened to My Chemical Romance one time, a college SpongeBob who just discovered leftist politics, and several Lana del Rey SpongeBobs (to name a few).
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DeMario — who, you may remember, came to After the Final Rose packing plane tickets for them to elope in Vegas — may be cute and charming, but the self-professed "number-one seed" is also a little overconfident.
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And then, perhaps overconfident and with his guard let down, Giuliani lets slip that Trump reimbursed his personal attorney Michael Cohen for the $130,000 hush payment made to porn star Stormy Daniels 11 days before the election.
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But some say the industry is overconfident, noting that Amazon has been scooping up local warehouses and negotiating air cargo deals in Brazil, while some retailers are reporting double-digit growth in online sales from last year.
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Research shows that recency bias (scoring twice in a basketball game and being confident that the next shot will be another score) can lead to overconfident decisions where people ignore probability and other factors impacting the result.
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Imperfect because he failed his own standard of openness, first while in government—he battled any serious oversight of the intelligence agencies' most controversial programs—and then again in this cheerful, overconfident account of his years there.
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Yamaguchi wrote in a magazine article in 2017 that he had "neither seen nor heard of the date rape drugs" Ito mentioned and that she had been "overconfident about the amount of alcohol and drank too much".
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Yamaguchi wrote in a magazine article in 2017 that he had "neither seen nor heard of the date rape drugs" Ito mentioned and that she had been "overconfident about the amount of alcohol and drank too much".
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One reason older adults may be overconfident about insurance in particular, Finke said, is that seniors are more likely to have experience with or own life insurance: They are more likely, then, to overestimate their understanding of it.
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It's been found that even the smartest of people are prone to making silly mistakes because they're overconfident, lack emotional intelligence, have a hard time listening to feedback and tend to throw in the towel when they fail.
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Charlie Fitzgerald, a financial advisor at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo, an advisory firm with offices in Orlando and Melbourne in Florida, said a strong stock market often leads investors to be overconfident and assume the gravy train will last.
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In the workplace, probably unsurprisingly to many women who are routinely talked over, patronized or ignored by male colleagues, research shows that rather than women being underconfident, men tend to be overconfident in relation to their actual abilities.
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Later, the overconfident Bush team was shocked that pro-Iran Iraqis won U.S.-sponsored elections; it apparently failed to recognize that the population of Iraq was between 60-70 percent Shiite Muslim and therefore inclined to support Iranian interests.
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I'm someone who has been in a lot of races and lost a lot of races, so I know you don't want to be overconfident, but I do feel very, very good about the way he's coming into it.
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Standing before a packed ballroom of the National Association of Attorneys General, Sessions harked back to his early time as a young prosecutor in Alabama and suggested that the nation "maybe got a bit overconfident" with more lax crime prevention efforts.
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Musk said the software that controls the doors has been difficult to refine, and Tesla should have saved some of its trickier features for future versions of the Model X. "This is definitely a case of getting overconfident," he said.
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The Crimson Tide have won five of their last six contests, including an 81-66 victory at LSU on Saturday, but coach Avery Johnson scoffed at the notion the team might be overconfident with the struggling Tigers coming to town.
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People say it's the drone that anybody can fly, …Read more ReadWatch our full Testmodo video and read our review to learn more about the Phantom 4, a drone that you definitely want to fly when you're not feeling overconfident.
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No one will blame you though, if you have no room in your life for the overconfident monologuing of a straight white man, but there remains something interesting in Koz's insistence at repeatedly painting himself as a totally unsympathetic figure.
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"The United States made excessive demands on North Korea to reach a big deal, whereas Chairman Kim was overconfident that he could persuade Trump to get what he wants for closing down the Yongbyon main nuclear complex," Moon Chung-in said.
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But they're also cast exactly on type, from mean-boss Aniston (last seen in Horrible Bosses) to straight man Bateman to lovably overconfident partying boss Miller to Randall Park (Fresh Off the Boat) as that ubiquitous office standard, Fred-from-Accounting.
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The estimate for a loss of 13 billion yen, or $120 million, made public on Monday in a preliminary filing with the Tokyo Stock Exchange, amounted to an admission that Takata had been overconfident in predicting a quick end to its troubles.
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At an important top in the indexes, key leadership sectors have usually turned to laggards, credit markets have grown more hostile, market volatility has been elevated for several months or more and investor sentiment frequently has gone from overconfident to suddenly fearful.
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Mr. Oates underplays what could have been a schematic "Of Mice and Men"-derived dynamic, while Mr. Allen's work as an overconfident sociopath is consistently insightful enough to make you regret that he didn't get more roles this meaty during his career.
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If you have very high expectations and maybe even you&aposre a little bit overconfident but you care about other people, you listen to other people, you learn from them, that can channel some of your narcissistic traits in a more productive direction.
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"If it should ever strike you that I am getting a little overconfident in my powers, or giving less pains to a case than it deserves, kindly whisper 'Norbury' in my ear, and I shall be infinitely obliged to you," he says to Watson.
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"She shouldn't be overconfident about Trump's negatives because she has several herself, including the public perception of her as untrustworthy and that she and her husband are scandal-prone," said Katherine Jellison, a professor and chairwoman of the Department of History at Ohio University.
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MEADOWS: You know, in my gut, I think what happens is, is, in any negotiation, when you get close to actually making a deal, people get overconfident on their ability and what they think the other side may or may not want and the motivations.
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Talks with North Korea present a long list possible pitfalls for the U.S. Since Kim Jong-un's offer, President Trump has exacerbated the risks by accepting the invitation outright, issuing overconfident statements and replacing the cautious Rex Tillerson with the pliant Mike Pompeo as secretary of state.
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The Penguins have to be at least slightly overconfident at the thought of playing a Capitals team that, on paper, isn't as good as the teams they beat in the previous two years, and there's the accumulated wear and tear of two straight Stanley Cup runs.
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But that would be risky, not least because we have an American president and a North Korean leader who both seem impetuous, overconfident and temperamentally inclined to escalate any dispute — and the American mainland increasingly will be in the cross hairs of North Korean nuclear warheads.
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Washington (CNN)Former FBI Director James Comey conceded that there was "real sloppiness" involved with the bureau's effort to obtain warrants to secretly surveil a Trump campaign adviser in 2016, saying in a Sunday interview that he was "overconfident" with his trust in the bureau's procedures.
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Research by professors at the University of California, Davis, and the University of California, Berkeley, found that men tend to be overconfident in areas "culturally perceived to be in the male domain," like the stock market, and that overconfidence leads to trading too much and to higher costs.
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Against this well-financed club, its meetings catered with lox and whitefish from Nate'n Al of Beverly Hills, is the overtaxed yet overconfident prosecutor Marcia Clark (Sarah Paulson), certain that once a jury sees the evidence and O. J.'s history of domestic violence, neither race nor celebrity will matter.
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Grant explained the finding this way: Because they naturally engage in a flexible pattern of talking and listening, ambiverts are likely to express sufficient assertiveness and enthusiasm to persuade and close a sale, but are more inclined to listen to customers' interests and less vulnerable to appearing too excited or overconfident.
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Bob Hearn: I thought the DeepMind team [behind AlphaGo] was overconfident, that there was no way they could know how they would do against Lee Se-dol until they played him — unless they've been secretly playing other 9-dan pros behind the scenes, which is possible, but I think unlikely.
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With the sharp October swoon from the September high of a very long-in-the-tooth bull market, now could be the time to reevaluate the upside of earning only 2 percent on cash versus being overconfident in the stocks that have done so well for you in a low-rate environment.
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In the months and years after his 2013 speech, he wasted opportunity after opportunity to roll the pitch for the referendum; to build, over time, a durable case to stay in the EU. Under-advised and overconfident, he turned the renegotiation from an asset to a stick with which Brexiteers could beat him.
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For a decisive market break, the economy would have to disappoint dramatically, the Fed would need to get more aggressive or credit markets would have to sour — and perhaps create one of those "financial accidents" that sometimes strike an overconfident and over-extended investment community and rudely interrupt a bull market's overshoot phase.
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But the story contains moments that are surprisingly human, loving and beautiful, after Lev and an unlikely companion, an utterly charming and overconfident young Cossack named Kolya, set out on an impossible journey, during which they discuss love, poetry, hunger, sex, chickens, elephants and of course whether the Nazis will win the war.
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"That's what a robo-adviser platform is designed to do automatically — to take that emotion out of the market when markets are going up, preventing clients from becoming overconfident and overly aggressive ... and likewise when markets are falling, keeping clients' portfolios consistent so that they can benefit when markets recover," he said.
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At what should have been the Republicans' great moment of triumph in a maiden voyage after winning the 2014 midterm elections and control of both houses of Congress, House Speaker John Boehner and Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell got overconfident and made the disastrous decision to immediately spurn the voters who provided their great victory.
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That put CEO Tim Cook in the uncomfortable position of having to talk about profits when he was just in the midst of a big push to dunk on Facebook and position Apple as the tech company defined by its respect for user privacy and security, as a did with an overconfident ad campaign in Las Vegas during CES.
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Since its debut on Fox in fall 2003, Arrested Development has been a scathing satire of upper-class privilege, painting the Bluth family as self-absorbed, overconfident, underqualified boobs who've survived as long as they have due to an extremely lax moral code, plus American society's deference to those who carry themselves as rich and important.
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Read more: A hedge fund manager who retired at 36 explains how a 'doom loop' in corporate credit is on the verge of upending the pension systemShe goes on to provide an example of a stubborn, overconfident trader that doesn't know when to cut his losses, despite his trade being outside of his model's risk tolerances.
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The governor, perhaps overconfident that legislators would cancel holiday plans to secure their first raise since 1999, tried to tie the session to a few choice items of his own: an ethics overhaul, measures related to bias crimes and homelessness, and a plan to deliver app-based ride-hailing services like Uber and Lyft to upstate New York.
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"We argued over the course of the last few weeks that ... one of the things that concerned us about this recent escalation was that it felt to us as if both (Donald) Trump and Xi Jinping were perhaps, overconfident about their positions, " Eric Robertson, head of global macro strategy and foreign exchange research at Standard Chartered Bank, told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday.
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Speaking to the press while campaigning with Clinton on Thursday, Senate Minority Leader Harry ReidHarry Mason Reid2020 Democrats fight to claim Obama's mantle on health care Reid says he wishes Franken would run for Senate again Panel: How Biden's gaffes could cost him against Trump MORE mentioned Utah as a state she could potentially win, though he cautioned Democrats not to be overconfident.
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"Yes, polling data shows a coming 'blue wave,' but we've gotten overconfident about polling numbers before," wrote former Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonTop Sanders adviser: Warren isn't competing for 'same pool of voters' Anti-Trump vets join Steyer group in pressing Democrats to impeach Trump Republicans plot comeback in New Jersey MORE aide Annafi Wahed in the Wall Street Journal last week.
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He has become an increasingly visible presence on the program since Trevor Noah became its anchor in 2015: Mr. Klepper often plays a self-entitled, overconfident doofus in studio segments; he has frequently been sent into the field to cover rallies for President Trump; and he unexpectedly was a guest host for an episode of "The Daily Show" last October when Mr. Noah had an emergency appendectomy.
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The study identified a variety of other rather unexpected predictors of sunburn, like being outside for less than an hour when the sun is most intense (since it's easy to justify not applying sunscreen if you're only going out briefly) and having had a full-body skin exam (the researchers speculated that being cleared by a dermatologist might make people feel overconfident and therefore less concerned about keeping up a strict anti-sunburn regimen).
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The individual circumstances of each case are different, but the themes are distressingly similar: multi-hour interrogations without lawyers present; cartoonishly overconfident detectives and prosecutors who decide extremely early on that their suspects are the only suspects and neglect other leads in the process; communities with a high regard for supreme police authority; and juries swayed by the dynamic, polished performances of prosecutors as well as their own disbelief that anyone would falsely to confess to murder.
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And as it has been with Trump, even if people seem outraged by what they hear from and about Ted Cruz, they keep listening, perhaps responding less to the words than to the confidence with which those words are delivered: Studies have also shown that overconfident jerks are perceived as having more social status, which appeals to people, and also that the ruder someone acts, the more convinced most of the rest of us become that he/she is powerful.
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If you have to work with that person, all of a sudden you realize, oh they constantly blame other people for their failures, they take credit for other people&aposs successes, they don&apost listen well and learn well from other people, they tend to be overconfident in their own bets, which occasionally works out well and other times leads to disastrous decisions, and there&aposs a whole body of research on how in teams even, when we&aposre working with narcissists, we&aposre more likely to elevate them into leadership roles and then we&aposre more likely to regret it afterward.
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In the most charitable interpretation of these employees' stories, Juicero was a naive but well-intentioned venture that bit off more than it could chew; in the least, it's about an overconfident egotist who was handsomely rewarded by a bloated industry bent on profit and willing to leap at any opportunity to beat back the inconvenience of mortality (and Juicero's financiers might have seen a bit of themselves in Evans' own well-publicized fear of death, the reason he first became a raw vegan.) "You feel the sting of all these attacks and yet you understand—they're right," a former employee said regarding the wave of bad press since the company's launch.
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